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18 Apr 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
56%
25%
19%
Sassuolo 56%
Draw 25%
Lecce 19%
1.6 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
45%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Sassuolo · all games
Lecce · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.80
Goals conceded per game
1.33
1.22x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.47x
1.27x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monza (A) 2-1 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
50%
50%
Sassuolo wins 3
Draws 3
Lecce wins 0
Goals 9 (1.50 per game)
Goals 5 (0.83 per game)
50%
3
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
3
of 6
Both Teams Scored
50%
3
of 6
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
17%
1
of 6
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
D
W
L
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Overall
3.00
2-0-0
PPG at Home
0.33
0-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Sassuolo at home +200% on points per game vs Lecce away (3.00 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
212
days rest
Monza 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
210
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
100%
0%
Goals per game
3.60
4.00
3.33
Scored
1.80
2.50
1.33
Conceded
1.80
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
100%
100%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.73
1.44
1.93
xGA
1.33
1.18
1.42
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
80%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
100% 5/5
20% 1/5
60%
58%
BTTS & win
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
100% 5/5
20% 1/5
60%
–
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
0.67 away
Sassuolo scored 5 in 2 home games
Lecce scored 2 in 3 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
1.33 away
Sassuolo conceded 3 in 2 home games
Lecce conceded 4 in 3 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.60
3.40
–
Corners conceded
6.80
4.20
–
Match total
11.40
7.60
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.40
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.80
0.60
–
Match total
3.20
2.60
3.26
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
–
Shots
Shots
17.20
8.40
–
Opponent shots
15.80
16.60
–
Match total
33.00
25.00
29.14
Shots on target
On target
7.00
3.40
–
Opponent on target
6.00
7.80
–
Match total
13.00
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.80
12.60
–
Opponent fouls
11.60
9.40
–
Match total
20.40
22.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.40
0.80
–
Opponent offsides
0.40
4.80
–
Match total
2.80
5.60
–
Possession
All games
47%
39%
–
Home games
44%
38%
–
Away games
49%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sassuolo
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
11%
45%
Conceded · 9
11%
0%
11%
22%
22%
34%
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
60%
Scored first
40%
44%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Sassuolo 3 of 5, Lecce 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 3 games
0
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
