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5 Dec 2026-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
87%
10%
SC Freiburg 87%
Draw 10%
1899 Hoffenheim 3%
2.7 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
18% chance
Most Likely Score
58%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Freiburg · at home
1899 Hoffenheim · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.33x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.83x
0.33x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.89x
Average: 2.25 home goals and 1.20 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs SC Paderborn 07 (A) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
20%
30%
SC Freiburg wins 5
Draws 2
1899 Hoffenheim wins 3
Goals 18 (1.80 per game)
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
1899 Hoffenheim Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Freiburg
SC
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Points on these 5
10 of 18 · 1.67 per game
6 of 18 · 1.00 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
L
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Overall
1.80
3-0-2
PPG at Home
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Away
Venue form: SC Freiburg at home +1,100% on points per game vs 1899 Hoffenheim away (2.40 vs 0.20)
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
77
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
76
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
3.70
4.40
3.00
Scored
1.70
2.40
1.00
Conceded
2.00
2.00
2.00
Both teams scored
90%
100%
80%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Freiburg
SC
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
100% 10/10
100%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
70%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
30%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
90% 9/10
65%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
80% 8/10
60%
–
SC Freiburg
SC
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
1.00 away
SC Freiburg scored 15 in 5 home games
1899 Hoffenheim scored 5 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
2.00 away
SC Freiburg conceded 2 in 5 home games
1899 Hoffenheim conceded 10 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Conceded over 0.5
50% 5/10
100% 10/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
Clean sheets
50% 5/10
0% 0/10
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Lost last game
10
Conceded all of the last 10 games
8
Scored in a row
8
Both teams scored in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Freiburg
SC
1899 Hoffenheim
189
League
Corners
Corners won
5.30
3.90
–
Corners conceded
3.80
6.00
–
Match total
9.10
9.90
10.86
Over 8.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.70
1.50
–
Match total
4.30
3.50
3.64
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.70
12.40
–
Opponent shots
10.90
14.80
–
Match total
26.60
27.20
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.50
3.50
–
Opponent on target
3.10
4.30
–
Match total
9.60
7.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
13.30
–
Opponent fouls
14.20
10.90
–
Match total
24.40
24.20
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
1.71
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
1.57
–
Match total
2.86
3.29
–
Possession
All games
49%
50%
–
Home games
49%
46%
–
Away games
49%
53%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
1899 Hoffenheim
Scored · 17
12%
12%
23%
12%
18%
23%
Conceded · 20
5%
15%
15%
15%
25%
25%
70%
Scored first
60%
18%
Goals after 75'
24%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Freiburg 7 of 10, 1899 Hoffenheim 6 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
At half-time
50%10%40%
Leading 5
Level 1
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 6 games
0
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 6 games
8
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, 1899 Hoffenheim: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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