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11 Oct 2026-3:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
94%
SC Freiburg 94%
Draw 4%
FC Schalke 04 2%
4.3 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
4-0
11% chance
Most Likely Score
86%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Freiburg · at home
FC Schalke 04 · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
1.33
0.40
Goals conceded per game
3.33
1.28x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.33x
0.40x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.42x
Average: 2.35 home goals and 1.00 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs SV Elversberg (H) 0-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
75%
25%
SC Freiburg wins 6
Draws 2
FC Schalke 04 wins 0
Goals 19 (2.38 per game)
Goals 2 (0.25 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
1
of 8
Both Teams Scored
88%
7
of 8
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
13%
1
of 8
FC Schalke 04 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Freiburg
SC
FC Schalke 04
FC
Points on these 4
4 of 15 · 0.80 per game
7 of 12 · 1.75 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
D
W
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
L
D
L
W
W
L
1.20
3-3-4
PPG Overall
1.50
1-3-0
PPG at Home
1.00
2-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: SC Freiburg at home +140% on points per game vs FC Schalke 04 away (2.40 vs 1.00)
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
4
6
Win %
30%
25%
33%
Goals per game
3.50
1.75
4.67
Scored
1.20
1.00
1.33
Conceded
2.30
0.75
3.33
Both teams scored
50%
50%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
50%
0%
Failed to score
50%
50%
50%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Freiburg
SC
FC Schalke 04
FC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
80% 8/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
70%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
30%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
–
SC Freiburg
SC
FC Schalke 04
FC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
1.33 away
SC Freiburg scored 15 in 5 home games
FC Schalke 04 scored 8 in 6 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
FC Schalke 04
FC
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
50% 5/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.33 away
SC Freiburg conceded 2 in 5 home games
FC Schalke 04 conceded 20 in 6 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
FC Schalke 04
FC
Conceded over 0.5
50% 5/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
Clean sheets
50% 5/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
2
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Freiburg
SC
FC Schalke 04
FC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.30
5.00
–
Corners conceded
3.80
5.70
–
Match total
9.10
10.70
10.86
Over 8.5
50% 5/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
1.80
–
Opponent cards
2.70
2.20
–
Match total
4.30
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
20% 2/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.70
12.60
–
Opponent shots
10.90
16.00
–
Match total
26.60
28.60
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.50
5.33
–
Opponent on target
3.10
6.33
–
Match total
9.60
11.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
9.40
–
Opponent fouls
14.20
11.10
–
Match total
24.40
20.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
1.71
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
2.57
–
Match total
2.86
4.29
–
Possession
All games
49%
44%
–
Home games
49%
41%
–
Away games
49%
45%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
FC Schalke 04
Scored · 12
8%
25%
0%
25%
0%
42%
Conceded · 23
9%
26%
4%
17%
9%
35%
70%
Scored first
38%
18%
Goals after 75'
42%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Freiburg 7 of 10, FC Schalke 04 3 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
At half-time
20%30%50%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 5
0.90
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 8
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 6 games
4
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 4 games
2
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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