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17 Apr 2027-1:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
87%
9%
SC Freiburg 87%
Draw 9%
FSV Mainz 05 4%
3.2 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
73%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Freiburg · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
2.20
0.40
Goals conceded per game
2.20
1.46x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.42x
0.26x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.07x
Average: 2.05 home goals and 1.55 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
30%
40%
SC Freiburg wins 3
Draws 3
FSV Mainz 05 wins 4
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Freiburg
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 5
13 of 18 · 2.17 per game
4 of 18 · 0.67 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: SC Freiburg at home +71% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 away (2.40 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
210
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
210
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Freiburg
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
60%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
50%
–
SC Freiburg
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
60%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
2.20 away
SC Freiburg scored 15 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
2.20 away
SC Freiburg conceded 2 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
50% 5/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
50% 5/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Freiburg
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
5.30
4.80
–
Corners conceded
3.80
4.70
–
Match total
9.10
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
50% 5/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.50
–
Opponent cards
2.70
1.50
–
Match total
4.30
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.70
13.20
–
Opponent shots
10.90
13.70
–
Match total
26.60
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.50
4.70
–
Opponent on target
3.10
4.90
–
Match total
9.60
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
14.20
8.70
–
Match total
24.40
21.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
1.71
–
Match total
2.86
3.71
–
Possession
All games
49%
45%
–
Home games
49%
47%
–
Away games
49%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
70%
Scored first
33%
18%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Freiburg 7 of 10, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 7 games
6
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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