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30 Jan 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
89%
9%
SC Freiburg 89%
Draw 9%
SC Paderborn 07 2%
2.6 – 0.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
52%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Freiburg · at home
SC Paderborn 07 · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
0.60
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.43x
0.29x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.86x
Average: 1.85 home goals and 1.40 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
SC Freiburg wins 2
Draws 0
SC Paderborn 07 wins 1
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Freiburg
SC
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Points on these 5
7 of 18 · 1.17 per game
1 of 15 · 0.20 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
0.50
1-2-7
PPG Overall
0.60
1-0-4
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: SC Freiburg at home +500% on points per game vs SC Paderborn 07 away (2.40 vs 0.40)
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
133
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
132
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
10%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.30
4.40
2.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
0.60
Conceded
2.40
3.20
1.60
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
0%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Freiburg
SC
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
70% 7/10
70%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
–
SC Freiburg
SC
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
40%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
0% 0/10
5%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
0.60 away
SC Freiburg scored 15 in 5 home games
SC Paderborn 07 scored 3 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
20% 2/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.60 away
SC Freiburg conceded 2 in 5 home games
SC Paderborn 07 conceded 8 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Conceded over 0.5
50% 5/10
90% 9/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
50% 5/10
Clean sheets
50% 5/10
10% 1/10
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Freiburg
SC
SC Paderborn 07
SC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.30
4.80
–
Corners conceded
3.80
5.60
–
Match total
9.10
10.40
10.86
Over 8.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.40
–
Opponent cards
2.70
1.70
–
Match total
4.30
4.10
3.64
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.70
10.60
–
Opponent shots
10.90
14.70
–
Match total
26.60
25.30
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.50
2.90
–
Opponent on target
3.10
6.30
–
Match total
9.60
9.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
10.50
–
Opponent fouls
14.20
12.10
–
Match total
24.40
22.60
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
2.20
–
Match total
2.86
3.70
–
Possession
All games
49%
46%
–
Home games
49%
45%
–
Away games
49%
48%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
SC Paderborn 07
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
45%
11%
Conceded · 24
13%
17%
12%
25%
8%
25%
70%
Scored first
11%
18%
Goals after 75'
11%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Freiburg 7 of 10, SC Paderborn 07 1 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
At half-time
10%20%70%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 7
0.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 8 games
1
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 1 games
0
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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