|
23 Jan 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
15%
14%
71%
SC Paderborn 07 15%
Draw 14%
FSV Mainz 05 71%
1.7 – 3.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-3
7% chance
Most Likely Score
88%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Paderborn 07 · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
2.20
3.20
Goals conceded per game
2.20
0.75x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.07x
1.56x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.38x
Average: 1.60 home goals and 2.05 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
SC Paderborn 07 wins 0
Draws 1
FSV Mainz 05 wins 2
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Paderborn 07
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 3
0 of 12 · 0.00 per game
4 of 12 · 1.00 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
0.50
1-2-7
PPG Overall
0.60
1-0-4
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: FSV Mainz 05 away +133% on points per game vs SC Paderborn 07 at home (1.40 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
125
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
126
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
10%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.30
4.40
2.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
0.60
Conceded
2.40
3.20
1.60
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
0%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Paderborn 07
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
60%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
–
SC Paderborn 07
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
50%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.20 at home
2.20 away
SC Paderborn 07 scored 6 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
SC Paderborn 07
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.20 at home
2.20 away
SC Paderborn 07 conceded 16 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
SC Paderborn 07
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Paderborn 07
SC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
4.80
4.80
–
Corners conceded
5.60
4.70
–
Match total
10.40
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.50
–
Opponent cards
1.70
1.50
–
Match total
4.10
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
10.60
13.20
–
Opponent shots
14.70
13.70
–
Match total
25.30
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
2.90
4.70
–
Opponent on target
6.30
4.90
–
Match total
9.20
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.50
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
12.10
8.70
–
Match total
22.60
21.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
2.20
1.71
–
Match total
3.70
3.71
–
Possession
All games
46%
45%
–
Home games
45%
47%
–
Away games
48%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Paderborn 07
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
45%
11%
Conceded · 24
13%
17%
12%
25%
8%
25%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
11%
Scored first
33%
11%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Paderborn 07 1 of 9, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
10%20%70%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 7
0.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
1
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 7 games
6
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
