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31 Jan 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
18%
26%
56%
Sevilla 18%
Draw 26%
Athletic Club 56%
0.7 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
16% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SEV · at home
BIL · all games
1.25
Goals scored per game
1.17
1.75
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
1.31x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 6 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Barcelona (H) 1-3 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
56%
22%
22%
Sevilla wins 5
Draws 2
Athletic Club wins 2
Goals 12 (1.33 per game)
Goals 8 (0.89 per game)
56%
5
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
2
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
5
of 9
Both Teams Scored
33%
3
of 9
Sevilla Clean Sheets
11%
1
of 9
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
W
W
1.86
4-1-2
PPG Overall
1.50
2-0-2
PPG at Home
2.33
2-1-0
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Rest & Schedule
134
days rest
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
134
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
57%
50%
67%
Goals per game
2.71
3.00
2.33
Scored
1.43
1.25
1.67
Conceded
1.29
1.75
0.67
Both teams scored
71%
75%
67%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
0.87
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.29
1.60
0.87
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sevilla
SEV
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
83% 5/6
92%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
83% 5/6
77%
77%
Over 2.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
45%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
17% 1/6
30%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/6
0%
–
Under 2.5
43% 3/7
67% 4/6
55%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 5/7
33% 2/6
52%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
0% 0/6
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
17% 1/6
37%
–
Sevilla
SEV
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
50% 3/6
54%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
23%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
1.00 away
Sevilla scored 5 in 4 home games
Athletic Club scored 2 in 2 away games
Sevilla
SEV
Athletic Club
BIL
Scored over 0.5
100% 7/7
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
29% 2/7
33% 2/6
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
17% 1/6
Failed to score
0% 0/7
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.75 at home
1.00 away
Sevilla conceded 7 in 4 home games
Athletic Club conceded 2 in 2 away games
Sevilla
SEV
Athletic Club
BIL
Conceded over 0.5
71% 5/7
50% 3/6
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
33% 2/6
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
Clean sheets
29% 2/7
50% 3/6
Streaks
1
Lost last game
7
Scored all 7 this season
2
Longest win run this season
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Sevilla
SEV
Athletic Club
BIL
League
Corners
Corners won
3.29
6.17
–
Corners conceded
3.57
4.83
–
Match total
6.86
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 10.5
14% 1/7
67% 4/6
–
Cards
Cards
3.14
2.17
–
Opponent cards
2.14
1.67
–
Match total
5.29
3.83
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
–
Shots
Shots
11.00
15.67
–
Opponent shots
11.29
9.50
–
Match total
22.29
25.17
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.14
4.67
–
Opponent on target
4.14
3.67
–
Match total
8.29
8.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.43
11.17
–
Opponent fouls
14.29
11.33
–
Match total
28.71
22.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.33
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.67
3.67
–
Match total
4.00
5.17
–
Possession
All games
42%
53%
–
Home games
42%
60%
–
Away games
42%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sevilla
Scored · 10
10%
10%
0%
40%
10%
30%
Conceded · 9
23%
22%
11%
11%
22%
11%
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
71%
Scored first
40%
30%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Sevilla 5 of 7, Athletic Club 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%57%29%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 8
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
3
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
1
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
