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6 Dec 2026-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
26%
8%
Sevilla 66%
Draw 26%
Malaga 8%
1.5 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
24% chance
Most Likely Score
27%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SEV · at home
MAL · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
0.25
1.75
Goals conceded per game
2.00
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.19x
1.31x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.17x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Barcelona (H) 1-3 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Getafe (A) 1-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
W
W
1.86
4-1-2
PPG Overall
1.50
2-0-2
PPG at Home
2.33
2-1-0
PPG Away
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
0.43
0-3-4
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Sevilla at home +500% on points per game vs Malaga away (1.50 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
78
days rest
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
77
days rest
Getafe 1-0 Malaga
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
57%
50%
67%
Goals per game
2.71
3.00
2.33
Scored
1.43
1.25
1.67
Conceded
1.29
1.75
0.67
Both teams scored
71%
75%
67%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
0.87
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.29
1.60
0.87
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.14
2.00
2.25
Scored
0.43
0.67
0.25
Conceded
1.71
1.33
2.00
Both teams scored
43%
67%
25%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
57%
33%
75%
xG
0.84
1.35
0.45
xGA
1.66
1.75
1.60
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sevilla
SEV
Malaga
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
86% 6/7
93%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
77%
Over 2.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
43%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
0%
–
Under 2.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
57%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
36%
–
Sevilla
SEV
Malaga
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
57%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
0.25 away
Sevilla scored 5 in 4 home games
Malaga scored 1 in 4 away games
Sevilla
SEV
Malaga
MAL
Scored over 0.5
100% 7/7
43% 3/7
Scored over 1.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Failed to score
0% 0/7
57% 4/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.75 at home
2.00 away
Sevilla conceded 7 in 4 home games
Malaga conceded 8 in 4 away games
Sevilla
SEV
Malaga
MAL
Conceded over 0.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
Clean sheets
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
Streaks
Match Totals
Sevilla
SEV
Malaga
MAL
League
Corners
Corners won
3.29
5.43
–
Corners conceded
3.57
5.29
–
Match total
6.86
10.71
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 10.5
14% 1/7
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
3.14
2.57
–
Opponent cards
2.14
2.00
–
Match total
5.29
4.57
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
11.00
10.00
–
Opponent shots
11.29
14.86
–
Match total
22.29
24.86
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.14
2.00
–
Opponent on target
4.14
5.71
–
Match total
8.29
7.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.43
12.86
–
Opponent fouls
14.29
11.71
–
Match total
28.71
24.57
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.33
1.29
–
Opponent offsides
1.67
2.14
–
Match total
4.00
3.43
–
Possession
All games
42%
51%
–
Home games
42%
52%
–
Away games
42%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sevilla
Scored · 10
10%
10%
0%
40%
10%
30%
Conceded · 9
23%
22%
11%
11%
22%
11%
Malaga
Scored · 3
34%
0%
33%
0%
0%
33%
Conceded · 12
0%
34%
25%
0%
8%
33%
71%
Scored first
17%
30%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Sevilla 5 of 7, Malaga 1 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%57%29%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 8
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 1
3
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 6 games
2
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 1 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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