|
21 Feb 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
21%
22%
57%
Sevilla 21%
Draw 22%
Real Madrid 57%
1.1 – 2.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SEV · at home
Real Madrid · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
1.50
1.75
Goals conceded per game
1.50
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.13x
1.31x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.88x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Barcelona (H) 1-3 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Atletico Madrid (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
100%
Sevilla wins 0
Draws 0
Real Madrid wins 7
Goals 7 (1.00 per game)
Goals 18 (2.57 per game)
100%
7
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 7
Sevilla Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Real Madrid Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
W
W
1.86
4-1-2
PPG Overall
1.50
2-0-2
PPG at Home
2.33
2-1-0
PPG Away
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
2.14
5-0-2
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
Rest & Schedule
155
days rest
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
154
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
57%
50%
67%
Goals per game
2.71
3.00
2.33
Scored
1.43
1.25
1.67
Conceded
1.29
1.75
0.67
Both teams scored
71%
75%
67%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
0.87
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.29
1.60
0.87
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
71%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.71
4.67
3.00
Scored
2.57
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.14
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
71%
67%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.64
2.79
2.52
xGA
1.09
0.83
1.28
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sevilla
SEV
Real Madrid
REA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
77%
Over 2.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
71%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
21%
–
Under 2.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
–
Sevilla
SEV
Real Madrid
REA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
50%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
1.50 away
Sevilla scored 5 in 4 home games
Real Madrid scored 6 in 4 away games
Sevilla
SEV
Real Madrid
REA
Scored over 0.5
100% 7/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 1.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
57% 4/7
Failed to score
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.75 at home
1.50 away
Sevilla conceded 7 in 4 home games
Real Madrid conceded 6 in 4 away games
Sevilla
SEV
Real Madrid
REA
Conceded over 0.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
Streaks
1
Lost last game
7
Scored all 7 this season
2
Longest win run this season
1
Lost last game
4
Conceded in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Sevilla
SEV
Real Madrid
REA
League
Corners
Corners won
3.29
6.86
–
Corners conceded
3.57
4.14
–
Match total
6.86
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 10.5
14% 1/7
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
3.14
1.86
–
Opponent cards
2.14
2.86
–
Match total
5.29
4.71
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
11.00
18.86
–
Opponent shots
11.29
12.71
–
Match total
22.29
31.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.14
7.57
–
Opponent on target
4.14
4.43
–
Match total
8.29
12.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.43
8.43
–
Opponent fouls
14.29
14.29
–
Match total
28.71
22.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.33
1.86
–
Opponent offsides
1.67
1.14
–
Match total
4.00
3.00
–
Possession
All games
42%
52%
–
Home games
42%
54%
–
Away games
42%
51%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sevilla
Scored · 10
10%
10%
0%
40%
10%
30%
Conceded · 9
23%
22%
11%
11%
22%
11%
Real Madrid
Scored · 18
11%
28%
17%
6%
5%
33%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
13%
37%
12%
25%
71%
Scored first
71%
30%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Sevilla 5 of 7, Real Madrid 5 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%57%29%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 8
At half-time
43%57%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.86
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 8
3
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 2 games
0
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 5 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
