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13 May 2026-5:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
40%
22%
38%
Stade Brestois 29 40%
Draw 22%
Strasbourg 38%
1.9 – 1.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
9% chance
Most Likely Score
71%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BRE · at home
STR · away
1.73
Goals scored per game
1.67
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.73
1.07x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.37x
1.09x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.07x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 31 + 31 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Paris FC (A) 4-0 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Toulouse (H) 1-2 · 3 May 2026
39
83
34
Substitutes
19
45
28
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
50%
50%
Stade Brestois 29 wins 2
Draws 2
Strasbourg wins 0
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
Goals 3 (0.75 per game)
75%
3
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
25%
1
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
75%
3
of 4
Both Teams Scored
25%
1
of 4
Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 4
Strasbourg Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Strasbourg
STR
Points on these 5
7 of 30 · 0.70 per game
15 of 30 · 1.50 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
W
W
W
D
1.23
10-8-13
PPG Overall
1.67
7-4-4
PPG at Home
0.81
3-4-9
PPG Away
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
D
D
D
W
D
1.48
13-7-11
PPG Overall
1.69
8-3-5
PPG at Home
1.27
5-4-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Stade Brestois 29 at home +31% on points per game vs Strasbourg away (1.67 vs 1.27)
Rest & Schedule
10
days rest
Paris FC 4-0 Stade Brestois 29
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
10
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
31
15
16
Win %
32%
47%
19%
Goals per game
2.97
3.07
2.88
Scored
1.32
1.73
0.94
Conceded
1.65
1.33
1.94
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
29%
47%
13%
Failed to score
32%
27%
38%
xG
1.22
1.52
0.95
xGA
1.43
1.24
1.60
Overall
Home
Away
Played
31
16
15
Win %
42%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.94
2.50
3.40
Scored
1.61
1.56
1.67
Conceded
1.32
0.94
1.73
Both teams scored
61%
50%
73%
Clean sheets
29%
44%
13%
Failed to score
19%
19%
20%
xG
1.51
1.64
1.36
xGA
1.28
1.02
1.56
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Strasbourg
STR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 29/31
90% 28/31
92%
–
Over 1.5
84% 26/31
74% 23/31
79%
72%
Over 2.5
52% 16/31
65% 20/31
58%
53%
Over 3.5
32% 10/31
35% 11/31
34%
33%
Over 4.5
19% 6/31
26% 8/31
23%
–
Under 2.5
48% 15/31
35% 11/31
42%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 14/31
61% 19/31
53%
51%
BTTS & win
10% 3/31
23% 7/31
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
39% 12/31
55% 17/31
47%
–
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Strasbourg
STR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 24/31
71% 22/31
74%
–
Over 1.5
52% 16/31
32% 10/31
42%
–
Over 2.5
19% 6/31
10% 3/31
15%
–
BTTS
19% 6/31
23% 7/31
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.73 at home
1.67 away
Stade Brestois 29 scored 26 in 15 home games
Strasbourg scored 25 in 15 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Strasbourg
STR
Scored over 0.5
68% 21/31
81% 25/31
Scored over 1.5
42% 13/31
42% 13/31
Scored over 2.5
19% 6/31
29% 9/31
Failed to score
32% 10/31
19% 6/31
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.73 away
Stade Brestois 29 conceded 20 in 15 home games
Strasbourg conceded 26 in 15 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Strasbourg
STR
Conceded over 0.5
71% 22/31
71% 22/31
Conceded over 1.5
55% 17/31
45% 14/31
Conceded over 2.5
32% 10/31
13% 4/31
Clean sheets
29% 9/31
29% 9/31
Streaks
6
Without a win last win 7 games ago
6
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run this season
1
Lost last game
5
Conceded in a row
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Strasbourg
STR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.19
4.21
–
Corners conceded
5.48
4.90
–
Match total
9.67
9.10
9.49
Over 8.5
56% 15/27
59% 17/29
–
Over 9.5
52% 14/27
45% 13/29
–
Over 10.5
44% 12/27
38% 11/29
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.87
1.84
–
Match total
3.87
3.74
3.97
Over 3.5
55% 17/31
58% 18/31
–
Over 4.5
42% 13/31
26% 8/31
–
Shots
Shots
10.74
11.00
–
Opponent shots
13.71
12.00
–
Match total
24.45
23.00
24.23
Shots on target
On target
3.34
4.55
–
Opponent on target
4.93
4.59
–
Match total
8.28
9.14
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.81
11.13
–
Opponent fouls
11.68
12.77
–
Match total
24.48
23.90
–
Possession
All games
43%
54%
–
Home games
43%
53%
–
Away games
43%
55%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Stade Brestois 29
Scored · 41
20%
15%
17%
17%
12%
19%
Conceded · 51
14%
21%
14%
10%
21%
20%
Strasbourg
Scored · 50
6%
18%
18%
14%
18%
26%
Conceded · 41
12%
15%
7%
32%
5%
29%
52%
Scored first
61%
20%
Goals after 75'
26%
Scored first: Stade Brestois 29 15 of 29, Strasbourg 17 of 28 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
32%26%42%
Leading 10
Level 8
Trailing 13
1.23
points per game
At half-time
60%
6 of 10
Led at HT, won
23%
3 of 13
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 212nd 20
At half-time
35%45%19%
Leading 11
Level 14
Trailing 6
1.52
points per game
At half-time
64%
7 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 212nd 29
6
Points won from losing positions in 17 · 15 games
8
17
Points dropped from winning positions in 17 · 20 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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