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17 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
25%
27%
Strasbourg 48%
Draw 25%
Monaco 27%
1.6 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
50%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
STR · at home
Monaco · away
1.56
Goals scored per game
1.44
0.94
Goals conceded per game
1.63
0.97x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.18x
0.77x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.01x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 31 + 32 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Toulouse (H) 1-2 · 3 May 2026
39
83
34
Substitutes
19
45
28
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Metz (A) 1-2 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
49
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
100%
Strasbourg wins 0
Draws 0
Monaco wins 4
Goals 6 (1.50 per game)
Goals 12 (3.00 per game)
100%
4
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
4
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
75%
3
of 4
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 4
Strasbourg Clean Sheets
25%
1
of 4
Monaco Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
D
D
D
W
D
1.48
13-7-11
PPG Overall
1.69
8-3-5
PPG at Home
1.27
5-4-6
PPG Away
W
D
D
L
W
W
D
D
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
1.69
16-6-10
PPG Overall
2.00
10-2-4
PPG at Home
1.38
6-4-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Strasbourg at home +22% on points per game vs Monaco away (1.69 vs 1.38)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
15
days rest
Metz 1-2 Monaco
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
31
16
15
Win %
42%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.94
2.50
3.40
Scored
1.61
1.56
1.67
Conceded
1.32
0.94
1.73
Both teams scored
61%
50%
73%
Clean sheets
29%
44%
13%
Failed to score
19%
19%
20%
xG
1.51
1.64
1.36
xGA
1.28
1.02
1.56
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
50%
63%
38%
Goals per game
3.25
3.44
3.06
Scored
1.75
2.06
1.44
Conceded
1.50
1.38
1.63
Both teams scored
66%
63%
69%
Clean sheets
22%
31%
13%
Failed to score
19%
6%
31%
xG
1.64
1.81
1.46
xGA
1.46
1.25
1.67
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Strasbourg
STR
Monaco
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 28/31
94% 30/32
92%
–
Over 1.5
74% 23/31
75% 24/32
75%
72%
Over 2.5
65% 20/31
66% 21/32
65%
53%
Over 3.5
35% 11/31
53% 17/32
44%
33%
Over 4.5
26% 8/31
22% 7/32
24%
–
Under 2.5
35% 11/31
34% 11/32
35%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
61% 19/31
66% 21/32
63%
51%
BTTS & win
23% 7/31
34% 11/32
28%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 17/31
63% 20/32
59%
–
Strasbourg
STR
Monaco
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 22/31
66% 21/32
68%
–
Over 1.5
32% 10/31
28% 9/32
30%
–
Over 2.5
10% 3/31
16% 5/32
13%
–
BTTS
23% 7/31
22% 7/32
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.56 at home
1.44 away
Strasbourg scored 25 in 16 home games
Monaco scored 23 in 16 away games
Strasbourg
STR
Monaco
MON
Scored over 0.5
81% 25/31
81% 26/32
Scored over 1.5
42% 13/31
53% 17/32
Scored over 2.5
29% 9/31
25% 8/32
Failed to score
19% 6/31
19% 6/32
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.94 at home
1.63 away
Strasbourg conceded 15 in 16 home games
Monaco conceded 26 in 16 away games
Strasbourg
STR
Monaco
MON
Conceded over 0.5
71% 22/31
78% 25/32
Conceded over 1.5
45% 14/31
41% 13/32
Conceded over 2.5
13% 4/31
22% 7/32
Clean sheets
29% 9/31
22% 7/32
Streaks
1
Lost last game
5
Conceded in a row
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Longest win run this season
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
11
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
7
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Strasbourg
STR
Monaco
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
4.21
5.19
–
Corners conceded
4.90
4.19
–
Match total
9.10
9.39
9.49
Over 8.5
59% 17/29
61% 19/31
–
Over 9.5
45% 13/29
48% 15/31
–
Over 10.5
38% 11/29
39% 12/31
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.34
–
Opponent cards
1.84
1.78
–
Match total
3.74
4.13
3.97
Over 3.5
58% 18/31
59% 19/32
–
Over 4.5
26% 8/31
34% 11/32
–
Shots
Shots
11.00
12.28
–
Opponent shots
12.00
13.50
–
Match total
23.00
25.78
24.23
Shots on target
On target
4.55
4.31
–
Opponent on target
4.59
4.50
–
Match total
9.14
8.81
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.13
12.72
–
Opponent fouls
12.77
10.91
–
Match total
23.90
23.63
–
Possession
All games
54%
54%
–
Home games
53%
55%
–
Away games
55%
53%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Strasbourg
Scored · 50
6%
18%
18%
14%
18%
26%
Conceded · 41
12%
15%
7%
32%
5%
29%
Monaco
Scored · 56
7%
13%
14%
20%
25%
21%
Conceded · 48
10%
13%
19%
12%
19%
27%
61%
Scored first
47%
26%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Strasbourg 17 of 28, Monaco 14 of 30 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%45%19%
Leading 11
Level 14
Trailing 6
1.52
points per game
At half-time
64%
7 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 212nd 29
At half-time
28%44%28%
Leading 9
Level 14
Trailing 9
1.28
points per game
At half-time
89%
8 of 9
Led at HT, won
44%
4 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 37
8
Points won from losing positions in 15 · 16 games
14
18
Points dropped from winning positions in 20 · 18 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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