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18 Oct 2026-10:30 am
Stats Prediction
Result probability
29%
41%
30%
Udinese 29%
Draw 41%
Lecce 30%
0.6 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
29% chance
Most Likely Score
13%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Udinese · at home
Lecce · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.45x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.47x
0.94x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Cagliari (H) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
44%
22%
33%
Udinese wins 4
Draws 2
Lecce wins 3
Goals 10 (1.11 per game)
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
56%
5
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
1
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
5
of 9
Both Teams Scored
33%
3
of 9
Udinese Clean Sheets
11%
1
of 9
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
W
D
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Lecce away +203% on points per game vs Udinese at home (1.00 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
29
days rest
Udinese 0-1 Cagliari
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.80
2.00
6.50
Scored
1.60
0.67
3.00
Conceded
2.20
1.33
3.50
Both teams scored
80%
67%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
20%
33%
0%
xG
1.40
1.71
0.95
xGA
1.84
1.48
2.38
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Udinese
UDI
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
28%
Over 4.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
Udinese
UDI
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
BTTS
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
0.67 away
Udinese scored 2 in 3 home games
Lecce scored 2 in 3 away games
Udinese
UDI
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.33 away
Udinese conceded 4 in 3 home games
Lecce conceded 4 in 3 away games
Udinese
UDI
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Udinese
UDI
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.60
3.40
–
Corners conceded
6.40
4.20
–
Match total
11.00
7.60
9.50
Over 8.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.20
2.00
–
Opponent cards
0.60
0.60
–
Match total
2.80
2.60
3.26
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
–
Shots
Shots
14.20
8.40
–
Opponent shots
17.20
16.60
–
Match total
31.40
25.00
29.14
Shots on target
On target
4.80
3.40
–
Opponent on target
6.20
7.80
–
Match total
11.00
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.40
12.60
–
Opponent fouls
9.40
9.40
–
Match total
20.80
22.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.25
0.80
–
Opponent offsides
3.00
4.80
–
Match total
4.25
5.60
–
Possession
All games
46%
39%
–
Home games
49%
38%
–
Away games
42%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Udinese
Scored · 8
13%
25%
38%
12%
0%
12%
Conceded · 11
0%
9%
18%
28%
27%
18%
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
80%
Scored first
40%
13%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Udinese 4 of 5, Lecce 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%60%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 0
1.80
points per game
At half-time
50%
1 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 2
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
0
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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