|
14 Feb 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
10%
33%
57%
Valencia 10%
Draw 33%
Alaves 57%
0.3 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
27% chance
Most Likely Score
17%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Valencia · at home
ALA · away
0.50
Goals scored per game
0.67
2.25
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.29x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.50x
1.69x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Sociedad (H) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
33
Substitutes
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Athletic Club (A) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
27
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
43%
29%
29%
Valencia wins 3
Draws 2
Alaves wins 2
Goals 10 (1.43 per game)
Goals 7 (1.00 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Valencia Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Alaves Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
0.57
1-1-5
PPG Overall
0.25
0-1-3
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
W
1.57
3-2-2
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Alaves away +168% on points per game vs Valencia at home (0.67 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
147
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
148
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
0%
33%
Goals per game
2.43
2.75
2.00
Scored
0.57
0.50
0.67
Conceded
1.86
2.25
1.33
Both teams scored
29%
25%
33%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
57%
75%
33%
xG
0.87
0.98
0.72
xGA
1.64
2.03
1.13
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
43%
75%
0%
Goals per game
2.43
3.00
1.67
Scored
1.57
2.25
0.67
Conceded
0.86
0.75
1.00
Both teams scored
43%
25%
67%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
29%
25%
33%
xG
1.29
1.25
1.34
xGA
1.14
0.98
1.35
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Valencia
VAL
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
77%
Over 2.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
39%
Over 4.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
Under 2.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
57%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
7%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
–
Valencia
VAL
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.50 at home
0.67 away
Valencia scored 2 in 4 home games
Alaves scored 2 in 3 away games
Valencia
VAL
Alaves
ALA
Scored over 0.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 1.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
Failed to score
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.25 at home
1.00 away
Valencia conceded 9 in 4 home games
Alaves conceded 3 in 3 away games
Valencia
VAL
Alaves
ALA
Conceded over 0.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
43% 3/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
Match Totals
Valencia
VAL
Alaves
ALA
League
Corners
Corners won
4.43
4.29
–
Corners conceded
3.71
5.14
–
Match total
8.14
9.43
9.65
Over 8.5
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 9.5
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 10.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.43
–
Match total
4.00
4.43
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
–
Shots
Shots
10.57
12.43
–
Opponent shots
15.29
12.14
–
Match total
25.86
24.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
2.71
4.43
–
Opponent on target
4.71
4.14
–
Match total
7.43
8.57
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.57
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
10.71
13.14
–
Match total
21.29
26.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.29
3.86
–
Opponent offsides
2.14
1.86
–
Match total
4.43
5.71
–
Possession
All games
48%
42%
–
Home games
42%
42%
–
Away games
55%
42%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Valencia
Scored · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
16%
23%
0%
15%
0%
46%
Alaves
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 6
0%
0%
17%
50%
17%
16%
17%
Scored first
67%
50%
Goals after 75'
36%
Scored first: Valencia 1 of 6, Alaves 4 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
0
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 4 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
