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24 May 2026-4:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
17%
18%
65%
Valencia 17%
Draw 18%
Barcelona 65%
1.1 – 2.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
10% chance
Most Likely Score
68%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Valencia · at home
Barcelona · away
1.35
Goals scored per game
2.18
1.24
Goals conceded per game
1.29
0.86x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.92x
1.09x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.83x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 34 + 34 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Atletico Madrid (H) 0-2 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
29
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Osasuna (A) 1-2 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
100%
Valencia wins 0
Draws 0
Barcelona wins 7
Goals 4 (0.57 per game)
Goals 24 (3.43 per game)
71%
5
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 7
Valencia Clean Sheets
43%
3
of 7
Barcelona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Valencia
VAL
Barcelona
BAR
Points on these 5
12 of 30 · 1.20 per game
27 of 30 · 2.70 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
1.15
10-9-15
PPG Overall
1.53
7-5-5
PPG at Home
0.76
3-4-10
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
2.59
29-1-4
PPG Overall
3.00
17-0-0
PPG at Home
2.18
12-1-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Barcelona away +42% on points per game vs Valencia at home (2.18 vs 1.53)
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
Valencia 0-2 Atletico Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
22
days rest
Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
29%
41%
18%
Goals per game
2.56
2.59
2.53
Scored
1.09
1.35
0.82
Conceded
1.47
1.24
1.71
Both teams scored
53%
59%
47%
Clean sheets
24%
24%
24%
Failed to score
26%
18%
35%
xG
1.29
1.45
1.12
xGA
1.21
0.95
1.48
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
85%
100%
71%
Goals per game
3.53
3.59
3.47
Scored
2.62
3.06
2.18
Conceded
0.91
0.53
1.29
Both teams scored
59%
47%
71%
Clean sheets
41%
53%
29%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.40
2.46
2.34
xGA
1.22
0.92
1.52
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Valencia
VAL
Barcelona
BAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
97% 33/34
100% 34/34
99%
–
Over 1.5
79% 27/34
91% 31/34
85%
79%
Over 2.5
41% 14/34
76% 26/34
59%
51%
Over 3.5
21% 7/34
41% 14/34
31%
26%
Over 4.5
15% 5/34
24% 8/34
19%
–
Under 2.5
59% 20/34
24% 8/34
41%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
53% 18/34
59% 20/34
56%
57%
BTTS & win
9% 3/34
44% 15/34
26%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
32% 11/34
56% 19/34
44%
–
Valencia
VAL
Barcelona
BAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
56% 19/34
82% 28/34
69%
–
Over 1.5
12% 4/34
56% 19/34
34%
–
Over 2.5
6% 2/34
24% 8/34
15%
–
BTTS
6% 2/34
35% 12/34
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.35 at home
2.18 away
Valencia scored 23 in 17 home games
Barcelona scored 37 in 17 away games
Valencia
VAL
Barcelona
BAR
Scored over 0.5
74% 25/34
100% 34/34
Scored over 1.5
26% 9/34
76% 26/34
Scored over 2.5
9% 3/34
53% 18/34
Failed to score
26% 9/34
0% 0/34
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.24 at home
1.29 away
Valencia conceded 21 in 17 home games
Barcelona conceded 22 in 17 away games
Valencia
VAL
Barcelona
BAR
Conceded over 0.5
76% 26/34
59% 20/34
Conceded over 1.5
44% 15/34
24% 8/34
Conceded over 2.5
12% 4/34
6% 2/34
Clean sheets
24% 8/34
41% 14/34
Streaks
Match Totals
Valencia
VAL
Barcelona
BAR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.13
6.85
–
Corners conceded
5.00
4.27
–
Match total
10.13
11.12
9.65
Over 8.5
70% 21/30
82% 27/33
–
Over 9.5
50% 15/30
64% 21/33
–
Over 10.5
50% 15/30
52% 17/33
–
Cards
Cards
1.88
1.50
–
Opponent cards
2.38
2.65
–
Match total
4.26
4.15
4.62
Over 3.5
68% 23/34
47% 16/34
–
Over 4.5
47% 16/34
38% 13/34
–
Shots
Shots
11.53
19.00
–
Opponent shots
11.94
8.91
–
Match total
23.47
27.91
24.67
Shots on target
On target
3.37
7.00
–
Opponent on target
4.40
3.70
–
Match total
7.77
10.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.26
9.79
–
Opponent fouls
11.85
12.06
–
Match total
24.12
21.85
–
Possession
All games
48%
69%
–
Home games
51%
69%
–
Away games
46%
69%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Valencia
Scored · 37
11%
8%
5%
22%
22%
32%
Conceded · 50
4%
14%
14%
22%
20%
26%
Barcelona
Scored · 89
17%
10%
19%
15%
17%
22%
Conceded · 31
16%
13%
32%
6%
10%
23%
45%
Scored first
71%
32%
Goals after 75'
22%
Scored first: Valencia 15 of 33, Barcelona 24 of 34 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
18%47%35%
Leading 6
Level 16
Trailing 12
1.00
points per game
At half-time
50%
3 of 6
Led at HT, won
25%
3 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 28
At half-time
56%29%15%
Leading 19
Level 10
Trailing 5
1.97
points per game
At half-time
95%
18 of 19
Led at HT, won
40%
2 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 412nd 48
9
Points won from losing positions in 22 · 11 games
21
16
Points dropped from winning positions in 16 · 31 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
