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24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
14%
24%
62%
Verona 14%
Draw 24%
AS Roma 62%
0.6 – 1.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
17% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Verona · at home
AS Roma · away
0.71
Goals scored per game
1.24
1.47
Goals conceded per game
1.12
0.55x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.10x
1.31x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.87x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-1-1
vs Juventus (A) 1-1 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
41
70
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Fiorentina (H) 4-0 · 4 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
10%
60%
Verona wins 3
Draws 1
AS Roma wins 6
Goals 13 (1.30 per game)
Goals 19 (1.90 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 10
Verona Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
AS Roma Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Verona
VER
AS Roma
AS
Points on these 5
10 of 30 · 1.00 per game
20 of 30 · 2.00 per game
Form & Points per Game
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
0.57
3-11-21
PPG Overall
0.47
1-5-11
PPG at Home
0.67
2-6-10
PPG Away
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
D
W
L
W
L
L
D
W
1.83
20-4-11
PPG Overall
2.17
12-3-3
PPG at Home
1.47
8-1-8
PPG Away
Venue form: AS Roma away +213% on points per game vs Verona at home (1.47 vs 0.47)
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
Juventus 1-1 Verona
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
20
days rest
AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
9%
6%
11%
Goals per game
2.31
2.18
2.44
Scored
0.69
0.71
0.67
Conceded
1.63
1.47
1.78
Both teams scored
49%
47%
50%
Clean sheets
17%
18%
17%
Failed to score
51%
53%
50%
xG
0.92
0.75
1.08
xGA
1.22
0.90
1.51
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
57%
67%
47%
Goals per game
2.31
2.28
2.35
Scored
1.49
1.72
1.24
Conceded
0.83
0.56
1.12
Both teams scored
34%
28%
41%
Clean sheets
46%
56%
35%
Failed to score
20%
17%
24%
xG
1.37
1.45
1.28
xGA
1.03
0.79
1.28
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Verona
VER
AS Roma
AS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 29/35
100% 35/35
91%
–
Over 1.5
69% 24/35
63% 22/35
66%
70%
Over 2.5
54% 19/35
37% 13/35
46%
45%
Over 3.5
23% 8/35
17% 6/35
20%
22%
Over 4.5
3% 1/35
6% 2/35
4%
–
Under 2.5
46% 16/35
63% 22/35
54%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
49% 17/35
34% 12/35
41%
45%
BTTS & win
9% 3/35
11% 4/35
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 14/35
29% 10/35
34%
–
Verona
VER
AS Roma
AS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
66% 23/35
66% 23/35
66%
–
Over 1.5
37% 13/35
23% 8/35
30%
–
Over 2.5
6% 2/35
11% 4/35
9%
–
BTTS
23% 8/35
11% 4/35
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.71 at home
1.24 away
Verona scored 12 in 17 home games
AS Roma scored 21 in 17 away games
Verona
VER
AS Roma
AS
Scored over 0.5
49% 17/35
80% 28/35
Scored over 1.5
17% 6/35
49% 17/35
Scored over 2.5
3% 1/35
17% 6/35
Failed to score
51% 18/35
20% 7/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.47 at home
1.12 away
Verona conceded 25 in 17 home games
AS Roma conceded 19 in 17 away games
Verona
VER
AS Roma
AS
Conceded over 0.5
83% 29/35
54% 19/35
Conceded over 1.5
51% 18/35
17% 6/35
Conceded over 2.5
23% 8/35
6% 2/35
Clean sheets
17% 6/35
46% 16/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Verona
VER
AS Roma
AS
League
Corners
Corners won
3.80
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.83
3.34
–
Match total
8.63
8.34
8.83
Over 8.5
54% 19/35
43% 15/35
–
Over 9.5
37% 13/35
29% 10/35
–
Over 10.5
26% 9/35
26% 9/35
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.97
–
Opponent cards
1.66
2.09
–
Match total
4.06
4.06
3.88
Over 3.5
54% 19/35
60% 21/35
–
Over 4.5
43% 15/35
37% 13/35
–
Shots
Shots
10.97
12.80
–
Opponent shots
13.29
9.83
–
Match total
24.26
22.63
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.79
4.44
–
Opponent on target
4.24
3.79
–
Match total
8.03
8.24
–
Fouls
Fouls
15.71
13.86
–
Opponent fouls
9.40
13.89
–
Match total
25.11
27.74
–
Possession
All games
41%
56%
–
Home games
44%
58%
–
Away games
38%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Verona
Scored · 24
4%
29%
29%
13%
21%
4%
Conceded · 57
14%
10%
18%
12%
14%
32%
AS Roma
Scored · 52
16%
15%
17%
15%
23%
14%
Conceded · 29
17%
0%
17%
24%
11%
31%
24%
Scored first
63%
4%
Goals after 75'
13%
Scored first: Verona 7 of 29, AS Roma 22 of 35 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%54%31%
Leading 5
Level 19
Trailing 11
0.97
points per game
At half-time
40%
2 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 9
At half-time
43%40%17%
Leading 15
Level 14
Trailing 6
1.69
points per game
At half-time
87%
13 of 15
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 252nd 27
5
Points won from losing positions in 24 · 14 games
5
12
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 23 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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