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16 Jan 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
53%
22%
25%
VfB Stuttgart 53%
Draw 22%
FSV Mainz 05 25%
1.9 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
61%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
VfB Stuttgart · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
1.60
Goals scored per game
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.20
0.86x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.26x
0.57x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.19x
Average: 1.85 home goals and 1.75 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Borussia Dortmund (H) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
50%
25%
25%
VfB Stuttgart wins 4
Draws 2
FSV Mainz 05 wins 2
Goals 15 (1.88 per game)
Goals 8 (1.00 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Both Teams Scored
25%
2
of 8
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheets
25%
2
of 8
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
VfB Stuttgart
VFB
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 3
3 of 9 · 1.00 per game
7 of 9 · 2.33 per game
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
W
D
L
W
D
1.20
3-3-4
PPG Overall
1.60
2-2-1
PPG at Home
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: VfB Stuttgart at home +14% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 away (1.60 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
119
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
119
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
3.20
2.60
3.80
Scored
1.60
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.60
1.00
2.20
Both teams scored
90%
80%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
VfB Stuttgart
VFB
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
–
VfB Stuttgart
VFB
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
70% 7/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.60 at home
2.20 away
VfB Stuttgart scored 8 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
VfB Stuttgart
VFB
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.20 away
VfB Stuttgart conceded 5 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
VfB Stuttgart
VFB
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
100% 10/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
2
Lost in a row
10
Conceded all of the last 10 games
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
VfB Stuttgart
VFB
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
5.80
4.80
–
Corners conceded
4.50
4.70
–
Match total
10.30
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.50
2.50
–
Opponent cards
2.80
1.50
–
Match total
4.30
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
13.30
13.20
–
Opponent shots
12.20
13.70
–
Match total
25.50
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.60
4.70
–
Opponent on target
4.20
4.90
–
Match total
8.80
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.00
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
12.60
8.70
–
Match total
23.60
21.50
–
Possession
All games
55%
45%
–
Home games
53%
47%
–
Away games
57%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
VfB Stuttgart
Scored · 14
0%
0%
21%
29%
14%
36%
Conceded · 15
13%
20%
7%
13%
27%
20%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
22%
Scored first
33%
36%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: VfB Stuttgart 2 of 9, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 4
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
5
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 7 games
6
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (VfB Stuttgart: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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