Stats Prediction
Result probability
64%
27%
9%
Lille 64%
Draw 27%
Rennes 9%
1.4 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
25% chance
Most Likely Score
25%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
REN · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.89
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.11
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.83x
0.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Montpellier (H) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Lille wins 1
Draws 2
Rennes wins 0
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Rennes Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
L
W
L
L
1.40
7-7-6
PPG Overall
1.64
5-3-3
PPG at Home
1.11
2-4-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +107% on points per game vs Rennes away (2.30 vs 1.11)
Rest & Schedule
35
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
36
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
35%
45%
22%
Goals per game
2.75
3.36
2.00
Scored
1.50
2.00
0.89
Conceded
1.25
1.36
1.11
Both teams scored
65%
82%
44%
Clean sheets
20%
9%
33%
Failed to score
30%
9%
56%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
Rennes
REN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
85% 17/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
80% 16/20
78%
72%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
55% 11/20
43%
48%
Over 3.5
15% 3/20
40% 8/20
28%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
45% 9/20
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
65% 13/20
53%
49%
BTTS & win
0% 0/20
30% 6/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
55% 11/20
38%
–
Lille
LIL
Rennes
REN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
75% 15/20
75%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
35% 7/20
35%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
25% 5/20
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.89 away
Lille scored 18 in 10 home games
Rennes scored 8 in 9 away games
Lille
LIL
Rennes
REN
Scored over 0.5
85% 17/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
25% 5/20
Failed to score
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.11 away
Lille conceded 4 in 10 home games
Rennes conceded 10 in 9 away games
Lille
LIL
Rennes
REN
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
80% 16/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
20% 4/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
Rennes
REN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.70
5.05
–
Corners conceded
4.15
4.47
–
Match total
9.85
9.53
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
53% 10/19
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
37% 7/19
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
26% 5/19
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.25
–
Match total
3.85
4.25
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.70
14.35
–
Opponent shots
8.75
11.80
–
Match total
22.45
26.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.24
5.37
–
Opponent on target
3.71
4.53
–
Match total
8.94
9.89
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
11.45
–
Opponent fouls
15.40
13.00
–
Match total
26.10
24.45
–
Possession
All games
58%
52%
–
Home games
57%
51%
–
Away games
58%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
Rennes
Scored · 30
14%
17%
10%
23%
13%
23%
Conceded · 25
16%
4%
32%
12%
20%
16%
76%
Scored first
47%
21%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Lille 13 of 17, Rennes 8 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
At half-time
25%40%35%
Leading 5
Level 8
Trailing 7
1.15
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
43%
3 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 18
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 9 games
5
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 9 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
···
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