Stats Prediction
Result probability
64%
30%
Nice 64%
Draw 30%
Montpellier 6%
1.3 – 0.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
29% chance
Most Likely Score
18%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
13%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
NIC · at home
MON · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
1.10
0.20
Goals conceded per game
1.50
0.84x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.03x
0.19x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.05x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Stade Brestois 29 (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Rennes (A) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
41
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Nice wins 2
Draws 1
Montpellier wins 0
Goals 9 (3.00 per game)
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Nice Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Montpellier Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
1.95
11-6-3
PPG Overall
2.40
7-3-0
PPG at Home
1.50
4-3-3
PPG Away
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
D
L
D
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
1.00
1-7-2
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Nice at home +140% on points per game vs Montpellier away (2.40 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
35
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
36
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
55%
70%
40%
Goals per game
1.55
1.40
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.55
0.20
0.90
Both teams scored
25%
20%
30%
Clean sheets
65%
80%
50%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.25
1.90
2.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.25
1.00
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
50%
30%
Clean sheets
35%
50%
20%
Failed to score
45%
40%
50%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Nice
NIC
Montpellier
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
80% 16/20
80%
–
Over 1.5
45% 9/20
70% 14/20
58%
72%
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
45% 9/20
30%
48%
Over 3.5
10% 2/20
25% 5/20
18%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
Under 2.5
85% 17/20
55% 11/20
70%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
33%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
23%
–
Nice
NIC
Montpellier
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 8/20
75% 15/20
58%
–
Over 1.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/20
5% 1/20
3%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.20 at home
1.10 away
Nice scored 12 in 10 home games
Montpellier scored 11 in 10 away games
Nice
NIC
Montpellier
MON
Scored over 0.5
70% 14/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
Scored over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
Failed to score
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 away
Nice conceded 2 in 10 home games
Montpellier conceded 15 in 10 away games
Nice
NIC
Montpellier
MON
Conceded over 0.5
35% 7/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
15% 3/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
65% 13/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
Match Totals
Nice
NIC
Montpellier
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
4.72
3.84
–
Corners conceded
3.06
5.21
–
Match total
7.78
9.05
9.45
Over 8.5
39% 7/18
42% 8/19
–
Over 9.5
33% 6/18
42% 8/19
–
Over 10.5
22% 4/18
21% 4/19
–
Cards
Cards
1.75
2.15
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.60
–
Match total
3.75
4.75
3.98
Over 3.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.20
13.60
–
Opponent shots
10.00
15.20
–
Match total
23.20
28.80
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.53
5.11
–
Opponent on target
2.79
5.21
–
Match total
7.32
10.32
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.85
12.65
–
Opponent fouls
11.35
14.60
–
Match total
23.20
27.25
–
Possession
All games
54%
44%
–
Home games
52%
45%
–
Away games
55%
42%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Nice
Scored · 20
5%
10%
10%
15%
20%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
18%
18%
18%
0%
37%
Montpellier
Scored · 20
15%
10%
20%
15%
25%
15%
Conceded · 25
28%
4%
8%
20%
24%
16%
81%
Scored first
38%
40%
Goals after 75'
15%
Scored first: Nice 13 of 16, Montpellier 6 of 16 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%65%15%
Leading 4
Level 13
Trailing 3
1.25
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 15
At half-time
30%25%45%
Leading 6
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.15
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 10 games
2
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 7 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
···
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
···
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