Stats Prediction
Result probability
37%
30%
33%
Lens 37%
Draw 30%
Stade Brestois 29 33%
1.1 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
34%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LEN · at home
BRE · away
1.56
Goals scored per game
1.20
0.89
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.09x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.12x
0.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.70x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Nice (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Lens wins 1
Draws 1
Stade Brestois 29 wins 1
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lens Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
1.80
10-6-4
PPG Overall
1.90
5-4-1
PPG at Home
1.70
5-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lens at home +11% on points per game vs Stade Brestois 29 away (1.89 vs 1.70)
Rest & Schedule
36
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
35
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
50%
50%
Goals per game
2.30
2.40
2.20
Scored
1.45
1.70
1.20
Conceded
0.85
0.70
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
45%
60%
30%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lens
LEN
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
85% 17/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
68%
72%
Over 2.5
35% 7/20
40% 8/20
38%
48%
Over 3.5
20% 4/20
25% 5/20
23%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
Under 2.5
65% 13/20
60% 12/20
63%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
35%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
20% 4/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
30% 6/20
25%
–
Lens
LEN
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
20% 4/20
25% 5/20
23%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.56 at home
1.20 away
Lens scored 14 in 9 home games
Stade Brestois 29 scored 12 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Scored over 0.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
50% 10/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
35% 7/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.89 at home
1.00 away
Lens conceded 8 in 9 home games
Stade Brestois 29 conceded 10 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Conceded over 0.5
50% 10/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 1.5
30% 6/20
25% 5/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
50% 10/20
45% 9/20
Streaks
2
Won in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Clean sheets in a row
3
Longest win run this season
9
Unbeaten last loss 10 games ago
4
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Lens
LEN
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.21
4.76
–
Match total
9.21
9.76
9.45
Over 8.5
58% 11/19
53% 9/17
–
Over 9.5
47% 9/19
53% 9/17
–
Over 10.5
37% 7/19
35% 6/17
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.35
–
Opponent cards
1.95
1.85
–
Match total
4.35
4.20
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.90
14.50
–
Opponent shots
11.25
10.70
–
Match total
25.15
25.20
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.00
5.05
–
Opponent on target
4.05
4.10
–
Match total
9.05
9.15
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.25
12.10
–
Opponent fouls
13.70
13.15
–
Match total
26.95
25.25
–
Possession
All games
52%
53%
–
Home games
51%
55%
–
Away games
53%
52%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
Stade Brestois 29
Scored · 29
0%
21%
17%
34%
7%
21%
Conceded · 17
17%
35%
12%
12%
12%
12%
53%
Scored first
53%
21%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Lens 9 of 17, Stade Brestois 29 9 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
At half-time
25%35%40%
Leading 5
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.10
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
4 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 18
7
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 8 games
8
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 11 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
···
- Champions League (Group Stage) - Champions League (3rd Qualif. round) - Europa League (Group Stage) - Europa Conference League (Qualification) - Relegation play-offs - Relegation - Serie B
Latest Games
