Stats Prediction
Result probability
53%
34%
13%
Marseille 53%
Draw 34%
Nice 13%
1.1 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
25% chance
Most Likely Score
18%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MAR · at home
NIC · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded per game
0.90
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
0.47x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.63x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Lyon (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Stade Brestois 29 (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Marseille wins 1
Draws 0
Nice wins 2
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Marseille Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Nice Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
1.45
7-8-5
PPG Overall
2.20
6-4-0
PPG at Home
0.70
1-4-5
PPG Away
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
1.95
11-6-3
PPG Overall
2.40
7-3-0
PPG at Home
1.50
4-3-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Marseille at home +47% on points per game vs Nice away (2.20 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
70
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
35%
60%
10%
Goals per game
2.50
2.20
2.80
Scored
1.40
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
0.50
1.70
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
0%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
55%
70%
40%
Goals per game
1.55
1.40
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.55
0.20
0.90
Both teams scored
25%
20%
30%
Clean sheets
65%
80%
50%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Marseille
MAR
Nice
NIC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
80% 16/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
45% 9/20
60%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
15% 3/20
30%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
10% 2/20
18%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
85% 17/20
70%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 10/20
25% 5/20
38%
49%
BTTS & win
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
15% 3/20
23%
–
Marseille
MAR
Nice
NIC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
40% 8/20
60%
–
Over 1.5
50% 10/20
10% 2/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
0% 0/20
8%
–
BTTS
30% 6/20
5% 1/20
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
0.80 away
Marseille scored 17 in 10 home games
Nice scored 8 in 10 away games
Marseille
MAR
Nice
NIC
Scored over 0.5
70% 14/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
50% 10/20
25% 5/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
5% 1/20
Failed to score
30% 6/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.50 at home
0.90 away
Marseille conceded 5 in 10 home games
Nice conceded 9 in 10 away games
Marseille
MAR
Nice
NIC
Conceded over 0.5
70% 14/20
35% 7/20
Conceded over 1.5
25% 5/20
15% 3/20
Conceded over 2.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
30% 6/20
65% 13/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Marseille
MAR
Nice
NIC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.85
4.72
–
Corners conceded
4.50
3.06
–
Match total
10.35
7.78
9.45
Over 8.5
65% 13/20
39% 7/18
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
33% 6/18
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
22% 4/18
–
Cards
Cards
1.80
1.75
–
Opponent cards
2.70
2.00
–
Match total
4.50
3.75
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
25% 5/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.75
13.20
–
Opponent shots
11.20
10.00
–
Match total
24.95
23.20
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.67
4.53
–
Opponent on target
4.22
2.79
–
Match total
8.89
7.32
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.05
11.85
–
Opponent fouls
13.65
11.35
–
Match total
24.70
23.20
–
Possession
All games
53%
54%
–
Home games
52%
52%
–
Away games
54%
55%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Marseille
Scored · 28
29%
28%
14%
11%
11%
7%
Conceded · 22
27%
5%
23%
18%
9%
18%
Nice
Scored · 20
5%
10%
10%
15%
20%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
18%
18%
18%
0%
37%
56%
Scored first
81%
7%
Goals after 75'
40%
Scored first: Marseille 10 of 18, Nice 13 of 16 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 202nd 8
At half-time
20%65%15%
Leading 4
Level 13
Trailing 3
1.25
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 15
7
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 3 games
0
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 13 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
···
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
···
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