Stats Prediction
Result probability
20%
34%
46%
Metz 20%
Draw 34%
Lens 46%
0.6 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
21% chance
Most Likely Score
21%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MET · at home
LEN · away
0.80
Goals scored per game
0.91
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.56x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
1.12x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.70x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Lorient (H) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
0.80
4-4-12
PPG Overall
0.60
1-3-6
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Lens away +127% on points per game vs Metz at home (1.36 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
71
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.40
2.00
2.80
Scored
0.85
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.55
1.20
1.90
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
15%
10%
20%
Failed to score
45%
60%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Metz
MET
Lens
LEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
85% 17/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
60%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
35% 7/20
40%
48%
Over 3.5
30% 6/20
20% 4/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
60%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
38%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
30%
–
Metz
MET
Lens
LEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
BTTS
30% 6/20
15% 3/20
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.80 at home
0.91 away
Metz scored 8 in 10 home games
Lens scored 10 in 11 away games
Metz
MET
Lens
LEN
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
Scored over 1.5
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
35% 7/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.20 at home
1.00 away
Metz conceded 12 in 10 home games
Lens conceded 11 in 11 away games
Metz
MET
Lens
LEN
Conceded over 0.5
85% 17/20
50% 10/20
Conceded over 1.5
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
15% 3/20
50% 10/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Metz
MET
Lens
LEN
League
Corners
Corners won
3.95
5.00
–
Corners conceded
5.05
4.21
–
Match total
9.00
9.21
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
58% 11/19
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
47% 9/19
–
Over 10.5
35% 7/20
37% 7/19
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.30
1.95
–
Match total
2.90
4.35
3.98
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
15% 3/20
50% 10/20
–
Shots
Shots
9.30
13.90
–
Opponent shots
14.35
11.25
–
Match total
23.65
25.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
3.25
5.00
–
Opponent on target
5.45
4.05
–
Match total
8.70
9.05
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.25
13.25
–
Opponent fouls
11.75
13.70
–
Match total
24.00
26.95
–
Possession
All games
35%
52%
–
Home games
40%
51%
–
Away games
30%
53%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Metz
Scored · 17
23%
18%
6%
0%
35%
18%
Conceded · 31
19%
13%
16%
19%
7%
26%
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
37%
Scored first
53%
18%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Metz 7 of 19, Lens 9 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
10%55%35%
Leading 2
Level 11
Trailing 7
0.85
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
29%
2 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
5
Points won from losing positions in 15 · 9 games
7
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 11 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
···
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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