Stats Prediction
Result probability
44%
30%
26%
Monaco 44%
Draw 30%
Lille 26%
1.2 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
16% chance
Most Likely Score
33%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Monaco · at home
LIL · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.93x
0.84x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.70x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs LE Havre (H) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Monaco wins 0
Draws 1
Lille wins 2
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Monaco Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
D
W
1.75
10-5-5
PPG Overall
1.90
6-1-3
PPG at Home
1.60
4-4-2
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Monaco at home +58% on points per game vs Lille away (1.90 vs 1.20)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
70
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
3.25
2.60
3.90
Scored
1.85
1.70
2.00
Conceded
1.40
0.90
1.90
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
25%
40%
10%
Failed to score
20%
20%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Monaco
MON
Lille
LIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
85% 17/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
85% 17/20
75% 15/20
80%
72%
Over 2.5
65% 13/20
30% 6/20
48%
48%
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
15% 3/20
28%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
5% 1/20
13%
–
Under 2.5
35% 7/20
70% 14/20
53%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
40% 8/20
50%
49%
BTTS & win
30% 6/20
0% 0/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 11/20
20% 4/20
38%
–
Monaco
MON
Lille
LIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
75% 15/20
75%
–
Over 1.5
55% 11/20
35% 7/20
45%
–
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
5% 1/20
18%
–
BTTS
40% 8/20
5% 1/20
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
1.00 away
Monaco scored 17 in 10 home games
Lille scored 10 in 10 away games
Monaco
MON
Lille
LIL
Scored over 0.5
80% 16/20
85% 17/20
Scored over 1.5
70% 14/20
40% 8/20
Scored over 2.5
30% 6/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.90 at home
1.00 away
Monaco conceded 9 in 10 home games
Lille conceded 10 in 10 away games
Monaco
MON
Lille
LIL
Conceded over 0.5
75% 15/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 1.5
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
25% 5/20
60% 12/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Monaco
MON
Lille
LIL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.85
5.70
–
Corners conceded
4.10
4.15
–
Match total
9.95
9.85
9.45
Over 8.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 9.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.70
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.75
1.95
–
Match total
4.45
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
45% 9/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.65
13.70
–
Opponent shots
10.85
8.75
–
Match total
25.50
22.45
25.14
Shots on target
On target
6.16
5.24
–
Opponent on target
4.53
3.71
–
Match total
10.68
8.94
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.85
10.70
–
Opponent fouls
12.00
15.40
–
Match total
26.85
26.10
–
Possession
All games
54%
58%
–
Home games
57%
57%
–
Away games
51%
58%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Monaco
Scored · 37
8%
24%
19%
24%
14%
11%
Conceded · 28
25%
7%
18%
18%
11%
21%
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
42%
Scored first
76%
11%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Monaco 8 of 19, Lille 13 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 18
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
14
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 5 games
2
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 13 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
···
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