Stats Prediction
Result probability
43%
23%
34%
Lorient 43%
Draw 23%
Toulouse 34%
1.7 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
63%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LOR · at home
TOU · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
0.82
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.45
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.76x
1.87x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.01x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Metz (A) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Reims (A) 2-3 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Lorient wins 0
Draws 2
Toulouse wins 1
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lorient Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Toulouse Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
0.80
3-7-10
PPG Overall
1.00
2-4-4
PPG at Home
0.60
1-3-6
PPG Away
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
L
D
L
D
L
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
0.89
1-5-3
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Toulouse away +9% on points per game vs Lorient at home (1.09 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
84
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
84
days rest
Reims 2-3 Toulouse
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
15%
20%
10%
Goals per game
3.40
3.70
3.10
Scored
1.30
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.10
2.00
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
10%
10%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
20%
11%
27%
Goals per game
2.30
2.33
2.27
Scored
0.95
1.11
0.82
Conceded
1.35
1.22
1.45
Both teams scored
55%
67%
45%
Clean sheets
20%
22%
18%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lorient
LOR
Toulouse
TOU
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
90% 18/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
80% 16/20
80% 16/20
80%
72%
Over 2.5
70% 14/20
45% 9/20
58%
48%
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
10% 2/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
30% 6/20
5% 1/20
18%
–
Under 2.5
30% 6/20
55% 11/20
43%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
58%
49%
BTTS & win
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 10/20
30% 6/20
40%
–
Lorient
LOR
Toulouse
TOU
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
60% 12/20
63%
–
Over 1.5
50% 10/20
30% 6/20
40%
–
Over 2.5
25% 5/20
15% 3/20
20%
–
BTTS
40% 8/20
15% 3/20
28%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
0.82 away
Lorient scored 17 in 10 home games
Toulouse scored 9 in 11 away games
Lorient
LOR
Toulouse
TOU
Scored over 0.5
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
Scored over 1.5
45% 9/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.45 away
Lorient conceded 20 in 10 home games
Toulouse conceded 16 in 11 away games
Lorient
LOR
Toulouse
TOU
Conceded over 0.5
90% 18/20
80% 16/20
Conceded over 1.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
45% 9/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
10% 2/20
20% 4/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lorient
LOR
Toulouse
TOU
League
Corners
Corners won
3.89
3.84
–
Corners conceded
5.61
5.63
–
Match total
9.50
9.47
9.45
Over 8.5
50% 9/18
53% 10/19
–
Over 9.5
39% 7/18
47% 9/19
–
Over 10.5
33% 6/18
32% 6/19
–
Cards
Cards
2.05
2.55
–
Opponent cards
1.80
2.15
–
Match total
3.85
4.70
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
80% 16/20
–
Over 4.5
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
–
Shots
Shots
8.95
11.40
–
Opponent shots
15.80
14.35
–
Match total
24.75
25.75
25.14
Shots on target
On target
3.94
4.15
–
Opponent on target
6.50
4.45
–
Match total
10.44
8.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.35
14.95
–
Opponent fouls
13.10
13.25
–
Match total
25.45
28.20
–
Possession
All games
46%
49%
–
Home games
46%
49%
–
Away games
46%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lorient
Scored · 26
23%
12%
12%
19%
11%
23%
Conceded · 42
12%
21%
14%
12%
17%
24%
Toulouse
Scored · 19
26%
5%
26%
11%
16%
16%
Conceded · 27
7%
15%
15%
19%
11%
33%
33%
Scored first
50%
23%
Goals after 75'
16%
Scored first: Lorient 6 of 18, Toulouse 9 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
15%55%30%
Leading 3
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.00
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
1 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
At half-time
25%45%30%
Leading 5
Level 9
Trailing 6
1.20
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 8
5
Points won from losing positions in 15 · 12 games
6
12
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 10 games
15
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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