Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
32%
20%
Montpellier 48%
Draw 32%
Nantes 20%
1.1 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
25%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MON · at home
NAN · away
0.90
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.78
0.63x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.62x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.24x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Rennes (A) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
41
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Lens (H) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Montpellier wins 1
Draws 0
Nantes wins 2
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Montpellier Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Nantes Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
D
L
D
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
1.00
1-7-2
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Montpellier at home +28% on points per game vs Nantes away (1.00 vs 0.78)
Rest & Schedule
85
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
85
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.25
1.90
2.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.25
1.00
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
50%
30%
Clean sheets
35%
50%
20%
Failed to score
45%
40%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.55
2.64
2.44
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.55
1.36
1.78
Both teams scored
45%
45%
44%
Clean sheets
25%
27%
22%
Failed to score
40%
36%
44%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
90% 18/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
68%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
45% 9/20
45%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
55% 11/20
55%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
49%
BTTS & win
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
35%
–
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
55% 11/20
65%
–
Over 1.5
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
20%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
25% 5/20
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.90 at home
0.67 away
Montpellier scored 9 in 10 home games
Nantes scored 6 in 9 away games
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
60% 12/20
Scored over 1.5
25% 5/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
40% 8/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.78 away
Montpellier conceded 10 in 10 home games
Nantes conceded 16 in 9 away games
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
Conceded over 0.5
65% 13/20
75% 15/20
Conceded over 1.5
45% 9/20
50% 10/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
Clean sheets
35% 7/20
25% 5/20
Streaks
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
6
Without a win last win 7 games ago
2
Failed to score in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
League
Corners
Corners won
3.84
5.05
–
Corners conceded
5.21
5.05
–
Match total
9.05
10.10
9.45
Over 8.5
42% 8/19
60% 12/20
–
Over 9.5
42% 8/19
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
21% 4/19
45% 9/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.15
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.60
1.85
–
Match total
4.75
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
40% 8/20
15% 3/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.60
12.15
–
Opponent shots
15.20
13.25
–
Match total
28.80
25.40
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.11
4.39
–
Opponent on target
5.21
5.67
–
Match total
10.32
10.06
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.65
12.60
–
Opponent fouls
14.60
11.40
–
Match total
27.25
24.00
–
Possession
All games
44%
48%
–
Home games
45%
46%
–
Away games
42%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Montpellier
Scored · 20
15%
10%
20%
15%
25%
15%
Conceded · 25
28%
4%
8%
20%
24%
16%
Nantes
Scored · 20
20%
5%
20%
40%
5%
10%
Conceded · 31
13%
13%
3%
20%
19%
32%
38%
Scored first
33%
15%
Goals after 75'
10%
Scored first: Montpellier 6 of 16, Nantes 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%25%45%
Leading 6
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.15
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 4
1.20
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
2
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 13 games
4
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 7 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
···
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