Stats Prediction
Result probability
79%
17%
Lille 79%
Draw 17%
Lyon 4%
2.0 – 0.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
22% chance
Most Likely Score
38%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
Lyon · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.67
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.56
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.62x
0.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.09x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Marseille (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Lille wins 1
Draws 1
Lyon wins 1
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Lyon Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +195% on points per game vs Lyon away (2.30 vs 0.78)
Rest & Schedule
89
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
89
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.65
3.00
2.22
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.65
1.73
1.56
Both teams scored
45%
55%
33%
Clean sheets
35%
36%
33%
Failed to score
30%
18%
44%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
90% 18/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
65% 13/20
70%
72%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
50% 10/20
40%
48%
Over 3.5
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
23%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
25% 5/20
15%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
50% 10/20
60%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
49%
BTTS & win
0% 0/20
0% 0/20
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
30%
–
Lille
LIL
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
60% 12/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
40%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.67 away
Lille scored 18 in 10 home games
Lyon scored 6 in 9 away games
Lille
LIL
Lyon
LYO
Scored over 0.5
85% 17/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.56 away
Lille conceded 4 in 10 home games
Lyon conceded 14 in 9 away games
Lille
LIL
Lyon
LYO
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
35% 7/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
Lyon
LYO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.70
4.70
–
Corners conceded
4.15
4.15
–
Match total
9.85
8.85
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.00
–
Match total
3.85
4.00
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
25% 5/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.70
12.35
–
Opponent shots
8.75
12.80
–
Match total
22.45
25.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.24
4.83
–
Opponent on target
3.71
5.33
–
Match total
8.94
10.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
13.95
–
Opponent fouls
15.40
11.40
–
Match total
26.10
25.35
–
Possession
All games
58%
51%
–
Home games
57%
52%
–
Away games
58%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
Lyon
Scored · 20
5%
20%
10%
20%
20%
25%
Conceded · 33
6%
28%
24%
12%
18%
12%
76%
Scored first
33%
21%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Lille 13 of 17, Lyon 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
At half-time
15%45%40%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 8
0.90
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 13
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 13 games
2
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 7 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
···
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
···
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