Stats Prediction
Result probability
56%
24%
20%
Strasbourg 56%
Draw 24%
Metz 20%
1.7 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
49%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
STR · at home
MET · away
1.30
Goals scored per game
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded per game
1.90
0.91x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
1.03x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.33x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Paris Saint Germain (H) 1-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Lorient (H) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
W
D
L
D
D
1.25
6-7-7
PPG Overall
1.50
4-3-3
PPG at Home
1.00
2-4-4
PPG Away
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
0.80
4-4-12
PPG Overall
0.60
1-3-6
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Strasbourg at home +50% on points per game vs Metz away (1.50 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
99
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
97
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
2.35
2.40
2.30
Scored
1.05
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
1.10
1.50
Both teams scored
65%
70%
60%
Clean sheets
15%
20%
10%
Failed to score
25%
20%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.40
2.00
2.80
Scored
0.85
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.55
1.20
1.90
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
15%
10%
20%
Failed to score
45%
60%
30%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Strasbourg
STR
Metz
MET
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
95% 19/20
95%
–
Over 1.5
85% 17/20
55% 11/20
70%
72%
Over 2.5
50% 10/20
45% 9/20
48%
48%
Over 3.5
5% 1/20
30% 6/20
18%
26%
Over 4.5
0% 0/20
10% 2/20
5%
–
Under 2.5
50% 10/20
55% 11/20
53%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
65% 13/20
45% 9/20
55%
49%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
40%
–
Strasbourg
STR
Metz
MET
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
65% 13/20
70%
–
Over 1.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
35%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/20
10% 2/20
5%
–
BTTS
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.30 at home
0.90 away
Strasbourg scored 13 in 10 home games
Metz scored 9 in 10 away games
Strasbourg
STR
Metz
MET
Scored over 0.5
75% 15/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
30% 6/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
25% 5/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.10 at home
1.90 away
Strasbourg conceded 11 in 10 home games
Metz conceded 19 in 10 away games
Strasbourg
STR
Metz
MET
Conceded over 0.5
85% 17/20
85% 17/20
Conceded over 1.5
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Streaks
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
9
Scored in a row
9
Conceded in a row
9
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
7
Lost in a row
10
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Strasbourg
STR
Metz
MET
League
Corners
Corners won
3.37
3.95
–
Corners conceded
5.00
5.05
–
Match total
8.37
9.00
9.45
Over 8.5
37% 7/19
55% 11/20
–
Over 9.5
32% 6/19
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
21% 4/19
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.70
1.60
–
Opponent cards
2.05
1.30
–
Match total
3.75
2.90
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
40% 8/20
–
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
–
Shots
Shots
10.55
9.30
–
Opponent shots
12.25
14.35
–
Match total
22.80
23.65
25.14
Shots on target
On target
3.74
3.25
–
Opponent on target
3.37
5.45
–
Match total
7.11
8.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.70
12.25
–
Opponent fouls
12.55
11.75
–
Match total
26.25
24.00
–
Possession
All games
41%
35%
–
Home games
40%
40%
–
Away games
43%
30%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Strasbourg
Scored · 21
10%
5%
9%
9%
24%
43%
Conceded · 26
11%
19%
31%
27%
4%
8%
Metz
Scored · 17
23%
18%
6%
0%
35%
18%
Conceded · 31
19%
13%
16%
19%
7%
26%
37%
Scored first
37%
43%
Goals after 75'
18%
Scored first: Strasbourg 7 of 19, Metz 7 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
15%35%50%
Leading 3
Level 7
Trailing 10
0.80
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
40%
4 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 16
At half-time
10%55%35%
Leading 2
Level 11
Trailing 7
0.85
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
29%
2 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
7
Points won from losing positions in 12 · 15 games
5
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 8 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
···
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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