Stats Prediction
Result probability
26%
29%
45%
Nantes 26%
Draw 29%
Lille 45%
0.9 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
15% chance
Most Likely Score
37%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
NAN · at home
LIL · away
1.27
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.36
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.89x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.93x
1.27x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.70x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Lens (H) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Nantes wins 0
Draws 1
Lille wins 2
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Nantes Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille away +10% on points per game vs Nantes at home (1.20 vs 1.09)
Rest & Schedule
98
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
97
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.55
2.64
2.44
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.55
1.36
1.78
Both teams scored
45%
45%
44%
Clean sheets
25%
27%
22%
Failed to score
40%
36%
44%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Nantes
NAN
Lille
LIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
85% 17/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
75% 15/20
70%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
38%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
15% 3/20
20%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
70% 14/20
63%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 9/20
40% 8/20
43%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
0% 0/20
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
30%
–
Nantes
NAN
Lille
LIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
55% 11/20
75% 15/20
65%
–
Over 1.5
25% 5/20
35% 7/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
BTTS
25% 5/20
5% 1/20
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.27 at home
1.00 away
Nantes scored 14 in 11 home games
Lille scored 10 in 10 away games
Nantes
NAN
Lille
LIL
Scored over 0.5
60% 12/20
85% 17/20
Scored over 1.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
40% 8/20
15% 3/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.36 at home
1.00 away
Nantes conceded 15 in 11 home games
Lille conceded 10 in 10 away games
Nantes
NAN
Lille
LIL
Conceded over 0.5
75% 15/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 1.5
50% 10/20
20% 4/20
Conceded over 2.5
25% 5/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
25% 5/20
60% 12/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Nantes
NAN
Lille
LIL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.05
5.70
–
Corners conceded
5.05
4.15
–
Match total
10.10
9.85
9.45
Over 8.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 10.5
45% 9/20
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.85
1.95
–
Match total
3.85
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
15% 3/20
45% 9/20
–
Shots
Shots
12.15
13.70
–
Opponent shots
13.25
8.75
–
Match total
25.40
22.45
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.39
5.24
–
Opponent on target
5.67
3.71
–
Match total
10.06
8.94
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.60
10.70
–
Opponent fouls
11.40
15.40
–
Match total
24.00
26.10
–
Possession
All games
48%
58%
–
Home games
46%
57%
–
Away games
49%
58%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Nantes
Scored · 20
20%
5%
20%
40%
5%
10%
Conceded · 31
13%
13%
3%
20%
19%
32%
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
33%
Scored first
76%
10%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Nantes 6 of 18, Lille 13 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 4
1.20
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
4
Points won from losing positions in 13 · 5 games
2
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 13 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
···
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
···
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