Stats Prediction
Result probability
24%
23%
53%
Montpellier 24%
Draw 23%
Monaco 53%
1.2 – 1.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MON · at home
Monaco · away
0.90
Goals scored per game
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.90
0.63x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.87x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.33x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Rennes (A) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
41
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs LE Havre (H) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Montpellier wins 1
Draws 0
Monaco wins 2
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Montpellier Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Monaco Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
D
L
D
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
1.00
1-7-2
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
D
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
D
W
1.75
10-5-5
PPG Overall
1.90
6-1-3
PPG at Home
1.60
4-4-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Monaco away +60% on points per game vs Montpellier at home (1.60 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
98
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
97
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.25
1.90
2.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.25
1.00
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
50%
30%
Clean sheets
35%
50%
20%
Failed to score
45%
40%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
3.25
2.60
3.90
Scored
1.85
1.70
2.00
Conceded
1.40
0.90
1.90
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
25%
40%
10%
Failed to score
20%
20%
20%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Montpellier
MON
Monaco
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
95% 19/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
85% 17/20
78%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
65% 13/20
55%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
33%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
20% 4/20
13%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
35% 7/20
45%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
60% 12/20
50%
49%
BTTS & win
5% 1/20
30% 6/20
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
55% 11/20
43%
–
Montpellier
MON
Monaco
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
75% 15/20
75%
–
Over 1.5
15% 3/20
55% 11/20
35%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
30% 6/20
18%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
40% 8/20
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.90 at home
2.00 away
Montpellier scored 9 in 10 home games
Monaco scored 20 in 10 away games
Montpellier
MON
Monaco
MON
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
80% 16/20
Scored over 1.5
25% 5/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
20% 4/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.90 away
Montpellier conceded 10 in 10 home games
Monaco conceded 19 in 10 away games
Montpellier
MON
Monaco
MON
Conceded over 0.5
65% 13/20
75% 15/20
Conceded over 1.5
45% 9/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
35% 7/20
25% 5/20
Streaks
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
6
Conceded in a row
4
Scored in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Montpellier
MON
Monaco
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
3.84
5.85
–
Corners conceded
5.21
4.10
–
Match total
9.05
9.95
9.45
Over 8.5
42% 8/19
65% 13/20
–
Over 9.5
42% 8/19
60% 12/20
–
Over 10.5
21% 4/19
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.15
2.70
–
Opponent cards
2.60
1.75
–
Match total
4.75
4.45
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.60
14.65
–
Opponent shots
15.20
10.85
–
Match total
28.80
25.50
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.11
6.16
–
Opponent on target
5.21
4.53
–
Match total
10.32
10.68
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.65
14.85
–
Opponent fouls
14.60
12.00
–
Match total
27.25
26.85
–
Possession
All games
44%
54%
–
Home games
45%
57%
–
Away games
42%
51%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Montpellier
Scored · 20
15%
10%
20%
15%
25%
15%
Conceded · 25
28%
4%
8%
20%
24%
16%
Monaco
Scored · 37
8%
24%
19%
24%
14%
11%
Conceded · 28
25%
7%
18%
18%
11%
21%
38%
Scored first
42%
15%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Montpellier 6 of 16, Monaco 8 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%25%45%
Leading 6
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.15
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 18
2
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 11 games
14
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 13 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
···
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
···
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