Stats Prediction
Result probability
52%
23%
25%
Frosinone 52%
Draw 23%
Lecce 25%
1.8 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
58%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Frosinone · at home
Lecce · away
1.83
Goals scored per game
0.82
1.58
Goals conceded per game
1.45
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
1.45x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.00x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs AC Milan (H) 2-3 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (H) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
L
L
D
L
1.00
6-5-12
PPG Overall
1.67
6-2-4
PPG at Home
0.27
0-3-8
PPG Away
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
L
L
W
D
D
1.04
5-9-9
PPG Overall
1.58
5-4-3
PPG at Home
0.45
0-5-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Frosinone at home +271% on points per game vs Lecce away (1.67 vs 0.45)
Rest & Schedule
29
days rest
Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
30
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
26%
50%
0%
Goals per game
3.26
3.42
3.09
Scored
1.35
1.83
0.82
Conceded
1.91
1.58
2.27
Both teams scored
78%
92%
64%
Clean sheets
9%
8%
9%
Failed to score
22%
8%
36%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
22%
42%
0%
Goals per game
2.48
2.67
2.27
Scored
1.04
1.25
0.82
Conceded
1.43
1.42
1.45
Both teams scored
61%
58%
64%
Clean sheets
9%
17%
0%
Failed to score
30%
25%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
91% 21/23
100% 23/23
96%
–
Over 1.5
91% 21/23
78% 18/23
85%
74%
Over 2.5
70% 16/23
43% 10/23
57%
50%
Over 3.5
39% 9/23
22% 5/23
30%
24%
Over 4.5
22% 5/23
4% 1/23
13%
–
Under 2.5
30% 7/23
57% 13/23
43%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
78% 18/23
61% 14/23
70%
51%
BTTS & win
26% 6/23
13% 3/23
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
65% 15/23
35% 8/23
50%
–
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 19/23
61% 14/23
72%
–
Over 1.5
43% 10/23
22% 5/23
33%
–
Over 2.5
13% 3/23
0% 0/23
7%
–
BTTS
22% 5/23
13% 3/23
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.83 at home
0.82 away
Frosinone scored 22 in 12 home games
Lecce scored 9 in 11 away games
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
78% 18/23
70% 16/23
Scored over 1.5
39% 9/23
30% 7/23
Scored over 2.5
13% 3/23
4% 1/23
Failed to score
22% 5/23
30% 7/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.58 at home
1.45 away
Frosinone conceded 19 in 12 home games
Lecce conceded 16 in 11 away games
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
91% 21/23
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
57% 13/23
39% 9/23
Conceded over 2.5
30% 7/23
9% 2/23
Clean sheets
9% 2/23
9% 2/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.09
–
Corners conceded
5.39
4.77
–
Match total
10.39
8.86
9.77
Over 8.5
74% 17/23
55% 12/22
–
Over 9.5
65% 15/23
41% 9/22
–
Over 10.5
43% 10/23
32% 7/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.22
2.78
–
Opponent cards
2.26
2.65
–
Match total
4.48
5.43
4.69
Over 3.5
74% 17/23
83% 19/23
–
Over 4.5
52% 12/23
65% 15/23
–
Shots
Shots
11.09
13.26
–
Opponent shots
15.04
13.78
–
Match total
26.13
27.04
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.14
4.23
–
Opponent on target
5.05
4.77
–
Match total
9.18
9.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.22
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
12.43
14.09
–
Match total
22.65
27.65
–
Possession
All games
52%
45%
–
Home games
53%
46%
–
Away games
51%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Frosinone
Scored · 31
10%
10%
16%
19%
26%
19%
Conceded · 44
14%
20%
14%
11%
11%
30%
Lecce
Scored · 24
13%
8%
8%
8%
21%
42%
Conceded · 33
3%
18%
15%
21%
18%
25%
38%
Scored first
43%
19%
Goals after 75'
42%
Scored first: Frosinone 8 of 21, Lecce 10 of 23 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
17%30%52%
Leading 4
Level 7
Trailing 12
0.83
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
33%
4 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 20
At half-time
17%52%30%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 7
1.04
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
57%
4 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 17
8
Points won from losing positions in 16 · 16 games
11
14
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 11 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
···
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