Stats Prediction
Result probability
73%
20%
Inter 73%
Draw 20%
Genoa 7%
1.9 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
19% chance
Most Likely Score
41%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Genoa · away
2.36
Goals scored per game
0.83
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.17
1.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.76x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.80x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Juventus (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Empoli (A) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
48
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
78%
22%
Inter wins 7
Draws 2
Genoa wins 0
Goals 26 (2.89 per game)
Goals 1 (0.11 per game)
89%
8
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
1
of 9
Both Teams Scored
89%
8
of 9
Inter Clean Sheets
11%
1
of 9
Genoa Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
2.59
18-3-1
PPG Overall
2.55
9-1-1
PPG at Home
2.64
9-2-0
PPG Away
D
W
W
D
D
D
W
W
D
D
D
W
D
L
D
1.26
7-8-8
PPG Overall
1.55
4-5-2
PPG at Home
1.00
3-3-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home +155% on points per game vs Genoa away (2.55 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
29
days rest
Empoli 0-0 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
82%
82%
82%
Goals per game
2.77
2.91
2.64
Scored
2.32
2.36
2.27
Conceded
0.45
0.55
0.36
Both teams scored
36%
36%
36%
Clean sheets
64%
64%
64%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
30%
36%
25%
Goals per game
2.17
2.36
2.00
Scored
1.04
1.27
0.83
Conceded
1.13
1.09
1.17
Both teams scored
57%
64%
50%
Clean sheets
22%
27%
17%
Failed to score
30%
18%
42%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 22/22
91% 21/23
96%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
61% 14/23
71%
74%
Over 2.5
50% 11/22
39% 9/23
45%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
17% 4/23
22%
24%
Over 4.5
9% 2/22
9% 2/23
9%
–
Under 2.5
50% 11/22
61% 14/23
55%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
36% 8/22
57% 13/23
46%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
17% 4/23
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
27% 6/22
39% 9/23
33%
–
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
82% 18/22
65% 15/23
74%
–
Over 1.5
32% 7/22
26% 6/23
29%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
13% 3/23
11%
–
BTTS
14% 3/22
22% 5/23
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.36 at home
0.83 away
Inter scored 26 in 11 home games
Genoa scored 10 in 12 away games
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
Scored over 0.5
100% 22/22
70% 16/23
Scored over 1.5
68% 15/22
26% 6/23
Scored over 2.5
32% 7/22
4% 1/23
Failed to score
0% 0/22
30% 7/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
1.17 away
Inter conceded 6 in 11 home games
Genoa conceded 14 in 12 away games
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
Conceded over 0.5
36% 8/22
78% 18/23
Conceded over 1.5
9% 2/22
26% 6/23
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/22
4% 1/23
Clean sheets
64% 14/22
22% 5/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.89
3.95
–
Corners conceded
4.39
5.25
–
Match total
10.28
9.20
9.77
Over 8.5
72% 13/18
55% 11/20
–
Over 9.5
61% 11/18
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
44% 8/18
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.41
2.57
–
Opponent cards
2.09
2.61
–
Match total
3.50
5.17
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
87% 20/23
–
Over 4.5
27% 6/22
74% 17/23
–
Shots
Shots
15.73
10.35
–
Opponent shots
10.23
11.96
–
Match total
25.95
22.30
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.23
3.09
–
Opponent on target
2.77
3.68
–
Match total
8.00
6.77
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.27
11.65
–
Opponent fouls
10.77
12.39
–
Match total
22.05
24.04
–
Possession
All games
55%
43%
–
Home games
57%
43%
–
Away games
54%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 51
16%
6%
25%
14%
12%
27%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
0%
Genoa
Scored · 24
13%
8%
33%
21%
13%
12%
Conceded · 26
12%
15%
15%
8%
12%
38%
95%
Scored first
38%
27%
Goals after 75'
13%
Scored first: Inter 21 of 22, Genoa 8 of 21 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
73%27%
Leading 16
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.45
points per game
At half-time
88%
14 of 16
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 27
At half-time
35%48%17%
Leading 8
Level 11
Trailing 4
1.52
points per game
At half-time
50%
4 of 8
Led at HT, won
75%
3 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 11
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 13 games
11
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 21 · 11 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
···
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
···
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