Stats Prediction
Result probability
42%
35%
23%
Torino 42%
Draw 35%
Fiorentina 23%
1.0 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
21%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Torino · at home
Fiorentina · away
1.09
Goals scored per game
1.27
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.27
0.75x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.16x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.87x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Salernitana (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lecce (A) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
30%
40%
Torino wins 3
Draws 3
Fiorentina wins 4
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
1.45
8-8-6
PPG Overall
1.82
5-5-1
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
L
1.55
10-4-8
PPG Overall
1.82
6-2-3
PPG at Home
1.27
4-2-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Torino at home +43% on points per game vs Fiorentina away (1.82 vs 1.27)
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
30
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
36%
45%
27%
Goals per game
1.77
1.64
1.91
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.73
Conceded
0.86
0.55
1.18
Both teams scored
27%
27%
27%
Clean sheets
50%
64%
36%
Failed to score
45%
36%
55%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
45%
55%
36%
Goals per game
2.55
2.55
2.55
Scored
1.41
1.55
1.27
Conceded
1.14
1.00
1.27
Both teams scored
41%
36%
45%
Clean sheets
27%
36%
18%
Failed to score
32%
27%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Torino
TOR
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
100% 22/22
89%
–
Over 1.5
59% 13/22
64% 14/22
61%
74%
Over 2.5
32% 7/22
45% 10/22
39%
50%
Over 3.5
5% 1/22
32% 7/22
18%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
14% 3/22
9%
–
Under 2.5
68% 15/22
55% 12/22
61%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
27% 6/22
41% 9/22
34%
51%
BTTS & win
9% 2/22
18% 4/22
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 3/22
32% 7/22
23%
–
Torino
TOR
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
36% 8/22
86% 19/22
61%
–
Over 1.5
18% 4/22
32% 7/22
25%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/22
9% 2/22
7%
–
BTTS
9% 2/22
14% 3/22
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.09 at home
1.27 away
Torino scored 12 in 11 home games
Fiorentina scored 14 in 11 away games
Torino
TOR
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
55% 12/22
68% 15/22
Scored over 1.5
23% 5/22
45% 10/22
Scored over 2.5
14% 3/22
23% 5/22
Failed to score
45% 10/22
32% 7/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
1.27 away
Torino conceded 6 in 11 home games
Fiorentina conceded 14 in 11 away games
Torino
TOR
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
50% 11/22
73% 16/22
Conceded over 1.5
23% 5/22
27% 6/22
Conceded over 2.5
9% 2/22
9% 2/22
Clean sheets
50% 11/22
27% 6/22
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Torino
TOR
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
4.65
5.25
–
Corners conceded
3.50
3.45
–
Match total
8.15
8.70
9.77
Over 8.5
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
35% 7/20
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.18
2.18
–
Opponent cards
2.18
2.18
–
Match total
4.36
4.36
4.69
Over 3.5
64% 14/22
68% 15/22
–
Over 4.5
45% 10/22
45% 10/22
–
Shots
Shots
10.73
13.05
–
Opponent shots
10.86
10.32
–
Match total
21.59
23.36
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.38
4.41
–
Opponent on target
3.81
4.14
–
Match total
7.19
8.55
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.91
12.73
–
Opponent fouls
10.91
12.59
–
Match total
22.82
25.32
–
Possession
All games
52%
58%
–
Home games
55%
60%
–
Away games
49%
56%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Torino
Scored · 20
10%
15%
25%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 19
0%
5%
16%
21%
32%
26%
Fiorentina
Scored · 31
23%
16%
13%
16%
10%
22%
Conceded · 25
20%
16%
12%
20%
12%
20%
53%
Scored first
50%
20%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Torino 9 of 17, Fiorentina 11 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
27%68%5%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 1
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 10
At half-time
36%23%41%
Leading 8
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.32
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 15
2
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 11 games
5
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 13 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
···
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