Stats Prediction
Result probability
52%
26%
22%
Udinese 52%
Draw 26%
Salernitana 22%
1.6 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
45%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Udinese · at home
Salernitana · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
0.64
1.58
Goals conceded per game
1.82
0.86x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.58x
1.45x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.25x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-1-1
vs Monza (H) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Torino (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
11
65
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
20%
40%
40%
Udinese wins 1
Draws 2
Salernitana wins 2
Goals 7 (1.40 per game)
Goals 5 (1.00 per game)
60%
3
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
2
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2
of 5
Both Teams Scored
40%
2
of 5
Udinese Clean Sheets
40%
2
of 5
Salernitana Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
W
D
D
L
D
0.83
2-13-8
PPG Overall
0.83
1-7-4
PPG at Home
0.82
1-6-4
PPG Away
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
0.57
2-7-14
PPG Overall
0.58
1-4-7
PPG at Home
0.55
1-3-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Udinese at home +51% on points per game vs Salernitana away (0.83 vs 0.55)
Rest & Schedule
29
days rest
Udinese 0-0 Monza
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.61
2.83
2.36
Scored
1.00
1.25
0.73
Conceded
1.61
1.58
1.64
Both teams scored
57%
58%
55%
Clean sheets
26%
25%
27%
Failed to score
35%
33%
36%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.74
3.00
2.45
Scored
0.83
1.00
0.64
Conceded
1.91
2.00
1.82
Both teams scored
57%
75%
36%
Clean sheets
9%
0%
18%
Failed to score
39%
25%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Udinese
UDI
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 19/23
96% 22/23
89%
–
Over 1.5
78% 18/23
83% 19/23
80%
74%
Over 2.5
48% 11/23
65% 15/23
57%
50%
Over 3.5
35% 8/23
26% 6/23
30%
24%
Over 4.5
13% 3/23
4% 1/23
9%
–
Under 2.5
52% 12/23
35% 8/23
43%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 13/23
57% 13/23
57%
51%
BTTS & win
0% 0/23
4% 1/23
2%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
35% 8/23
48% 11/23
41%
–
Udinese
UDI
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 15/23
74% 17/23
70%
–
Over 1.5
30% 7/23
39% 9/23
35%
–
Over 2.5
17% 4/23
4% 1/23
11%
–
BTTS
13% 3/23
22% 5/23
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
0.64 away
Udinese scored 15 in 12 home games
Salernitana scored 7 in 11 away games
Udinese
UDI
Salernitana
SAL
Scored over 0.5
65% 15/23
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
26% 6/23
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/23
0% 0/23
Failed to score
35% 8/23
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.58 at home
1.82 away
Udinese conceded 19 in 12 home games
Salernitana conceded 20 in 11 away games
Udinese
UDI
Salernitana
SAL
Conceded over 0.5
74% 17/23
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
52% 12/23
70% 16/23
Conceded over 2.5
26% 6/23
22% 5/23
Clean sheets
26% 6/23
9% 2/23
Streaks
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
2
Failed to score in a row
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
Match Totals
Udinese
UDI
Salernitana
SAL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.55
4.57
–
Corners conceded
6.23
6.19
–
Match total
10.77
10.76
9.77
Over 8.5
68% 15/22
76% 16/21
–
Over 9.5
64% 14/22
76% 16/21
–
Over 10.5
50% 11/22
62% 13/21
–
Cards
Cards
2.30
2.52
–
Opponent cards
2.17
2.35
–
Match total
4.48
4.87
4.69
Over 3.5
65% 15/23
65% 15/23
–
Over 4.5
43% 10/23
48% 11/23
–
Shots
Shots
12.61
10.57
–
Opponent shots
12.13
14.78
–
Match total
24.74
25.35
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.30
3.32
–
Opponent on target
4.30
5.50
–
Match total
8.61
8.82
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.87
12.57
–
Opponent fouls
11.70
13.00
–
Match total
24.57
25.57
–
Possession
All games
40%
44%
–
Home games
42%
43%
–
Away games
38%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Udinese
Scored · 23
4%
17%
13%
31%
22%
13%
Conceded · 37
8%
11%
30%
2%
11%
38%
Salernitana
Scored · 19
16%
11%
16%
21%
26%
10%
Conceded · 44
18%
11%
14%
18%
7%
32%
47%
Scored first
27%
13%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Udinese 9 of 19, Salernitana 6 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%39%39%
Leading 5
Level 9
Trailing 9
1.04
points per game
At half-time
20%
1 of 5
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 15
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 11
2
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 20 games
8
17
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 9 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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