Stats Prediction
Result probability
21%
36%
43%
Lazio 21%
Draw 36%
Juventus 43%
0.6 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
23% chance
Most Likely Score
19%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lazio · at home
Juventus · away
1.09
Goals scored per game
1.58
0.64
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.75x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.45x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.51x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Atalanta (A) 3-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Inter (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
20%
20%
60%
Lazio wins 2
Draws 2
Juventus wins 6
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
Goals 20 (2.00 per game)
100%
10
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 10
Lazio Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Juventus Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.55
10-4-8
PPG Overall
1.91
6-3-2
PPG at Home
1.18
4-1-6
PPG Away
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
2.30
16-5-2
PPG Overall
2.45
8-3-0
PPG at Home
2.17
8-2-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Juventus away +14% on points per game vs Lazio at home (2.17 vs 1.91)
Rest & Schedule
55
days rest
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
55
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
45%
55%
36%
Goals per game
2.18
1.73
2.64
Scored
1.14
1.09
1.18
Conceded
1.05
0.64
1.45
Both teams scored
45%
27%
64%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
27%
36%
18%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
70%
73%
67%
Goals per game
2.17
2.00
2.33
Scored
1.57
1.55
1.58
Conceded
0.61
0.45
0.75
Both teams scored
43%
45%
42%
Clean sheets
52%
55%
50%
Failed to score
9%
0%
17%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lazio
LAZ
Juventus
JUV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
91% 20/22
96% 22/23
93%
–
Over 1.5
68% 15/22
65% 15/23
67%
74%
Over 2.5
36% 8/22
39% 9/23
38%
50%
Over 3.5
18% 4/22
9% 2/23
13%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
64% 14/22
61% 14/23
62%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 10/22
43% 10/23
44%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
22% 5/23
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
26% 6/23
31%
–
Lazio
LAZ
Juventus
JUV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
64% 14/22
57% 13/23
60%
–
Over 1.5
27% 6/22
22% 5/23
25%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/22
9% 2/23
7%
–
BTTS
14% 3/22
9% 2/23
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.09 at home
1.58 away
Lazio scored 12 in 11 home games
Juventus scored 19 in 12 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Juventus
JUV
Scored over 0.5
73% 16/22
91% 21/23
Scored over 1.5
32% 7/22
48% 11/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/22
17% 4/23
Failed to score
27% 6/22
9% 2/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.64 at home
0.75 away
Lazio conceded 7 in 11 home games
Juventus conceded 9 in 12 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Juventus
JUV
Conceded over 0.5
64% 14/22
48% 11/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
4% 1/23
Conceded over 2.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
Clean sheets
36% 8/22
52% 12/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Lazio
LAZ
Juventus
JUV
League
Corners
Corners won
5.19
5.18
–
Corners conceded
4.24
4.86
–
Match total
9.43
10.05
9.77
Over 8.5
38% 8/21
73% 16/22
–
Over 9.5
33% 7/21
59% 13/22
–
Over 10.5
29% 6/21
27% 6/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.64
2.43
–
Opponent cards
2.73
1.78
–
Match total
5.36
4.22
4.69
Over 3.5
86% 19/22
57% 13/23
–
Over 4.5
77% 17/22
43% 10/23
–
Shots
Shots
11.05
13.57
–
Opponent shots
12.14
11.91
–
Match total
23.18
25.48
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.38
3.95
–
Opponent on target
3.81
3.05
–
Match total
7.19
7.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.23
12.13
–
Opponent fouls
12.23
10.96
–
Match total
24.45
23.09
–
Possession
All games
52%
47%
–
Home games
52%
45%
–
Away games
53%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lazio
Scored · 25
24%
16%
8%
12%
20%
20%
Conceded · 23
4%
13%
22%
22%
22%
17%
Juventus
Scored · 36
17%
17%
5%
19%
17%
25%
Conceded · 14
7%
7%
29%
14%
22%
21%
65%
Scored first
82%
20%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Lazio 13 of 20, Juventus 18 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
36%45%18%
Leading 8
Level 10
Trailing 4
1.55
points per game
At half-time
63%
5 of 8
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 13
At half-time
35%48%17%
Leading 8
Level 11
Trailing 4
1.52
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 22
3
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 4 games
4
10
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 19 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
···
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
···
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