Stats Prediction
Result probability
57%
28%
15%
Juventus 57%
Draw 28%
Fiorentina 15%
1.3 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
29%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Juventus · at home
Fiorentina · away
1.55
Goals scored per game
1.27
0.45
Goals conceded per game
1.27
1.06x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.16x
0.42x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.87x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Inter (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lecce (A) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
30%
20%
Juventus wins 5
Draws 3
Fiorentina wins 2
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
Goals 8 (0.80 per game)
60%
6
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Both Teams Scored
50%
5
of 10
Juventus Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
2.30
16-5-2
PPG Overall
2.45
8-3-0
PPG at Home
2.17
8-2-2
PPG Away
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
L
1.55
10-4-8
PPG Overall
1.82
6-2-3
PPG at Home
1.27
4-2-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Juventus at home +93% on points per game vs Fiorentina away (2.45 vs 1.27)
Rest & Schedule
63
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
65
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
70%
73%
67%
Goals per game
2.17
2.00
2.33
Scored
1.57
1.55
1.58
Conceded
0.61
0.45
0.75
Both teams scored
43%
45%
42%
Clean sheets
52%
55%
50%
Failed to score
9%
0%
17%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
45%
55%
36%
Goals per game
2.55
2.55
2.55
Scored
1.41
1.55
1.27
Conceded
1.14
1.00
1.27
Both teams scored
41%
36%
45%
Clean sheets
27%
36%
18%
Failed to score
32%
27%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
96% 22/23
100% 22/22
98%
–
Over 1.5
65% 15/23
64% 14/22
64%
74%
Over 2.5
39% 9/23
45% 10/22
42%
50%
Over 3.5
9% 2/23
32% 7/22
20%
24%
Over 4.5
4% 1/23
14% 3/22
9%
–
Under 2.5
61% 14/23
55% 12/22
58%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 10/23
41% 9/22
42%
51%
BTTS & win
22% 5/23
18% 4/22
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
26% 6/23
32% 7/22
29%
–
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 13/23
86% 19/22
71%
–
Over 1.5
22% 5/23
32% 7/22
27%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/23
9% 2/22
9%
–
BTTS
9% 2/23
14% 3/22
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.55 at home
1.27 away
Juventus scored 17 in 11 home games
Fiorentina scored 14 in 11 away games
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
91% 21/23
68% 15/22
Scored over 1.5
48% 11/23
45% 10/22
Scored over 2.5
17% 4/23
23% 5/22
Failed to score
9% 2/23
32% 7/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.45 at home
1.27 away
Juventus conceded 5 in 11 home games
Fiorentina conceded 14 in 11 away games
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
48% 11/23
73% 16/22
Conceded over 1.5
4% 1/23
27% 6/22
Conceded over 2.5
4% 1/23
9% 2/22
Clean sheets
52% 12/23
27% 6/22
Streaks
2
Without a win last win 3 games ago
2
Conceded in a row
5
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.18
5.25
–
Corners conceded
4.86
3.45
–
Match total
10.05
8.70
9.77
Over 8.5
73% 16/22
40% 8/20
–
Over 9.5
59% 13/22
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
27% 6/22
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.43
2.18
–
Opponent cards
1.78
2.18
–
Match total
4.22
4.36
4.69
Over 3.5
57% 13/23
68% 15/22
–
Over 4.5
43% 10/23
45% 10/22
–
Shots
Shots
13.57
13.05
–
Opponent shots
11.91
10.32
–
Match total
25.48
23.36
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.95
4.41
–
Opponent on target
3.05
4.14
–
Match total
7.00
8.55
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.13
12.73
–
Opponent fouls
10.96
12.59
–
Match total
23.09
25.32
–
Possession
All games
47%
58%
–
Home games
45%
60%
–
Away games
49%
56%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Juventus
Scored · 36
17%
17%
5%
19%
17%
25%
Conceded · 14
7%
7%
29%
14%
22%
21%
Fiorentina
Scored · 31
23%
16%
13%
16%
10%
22%
Conceded · 25
20%
16%
12%
20%
12%
20%
82%
Scored first
50%
25%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Juventus 18 of 22, Fiorentina 11 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%48%17%
Leading 8
Level 11
Trailing 4
1.52
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 22
At half-time
36%23%41%
Leading 8
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.32
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 15
4
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 11 games
5
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 13 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
···
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
···
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