Stats Prediction
Result probability
75%
19%
Inter 75%
Draw 19%
Torino 6%
1.9 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
40%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Torino · away
2.36
Goals scored per game
0.73
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.18
1.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.67x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.81x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Juventus (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Salernitana (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
80%
10%
10%
Inter wins 8
Draws 1
Torino wins 1
Goals 19 (1.90 per game)
Goals 6 (0.60 per game)
60%
6
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Both Teams Scored
50%
5
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
2.59
18-3-1
PPG Overall
2.55
9-1-1
PPG at Home
2.64
9-2-0
PPG Away
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
1.45
8-8-6
PPG Overall
1.82
5-5-1
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home +134% on points per game vs Torino away (2.55 vs 1.09)
Rest & Schedule
84
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
84
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
82%
82%
82%
Goals per game
2.77
2.91
2.64
Scored
2.32
2.36
2.27
Conceded
0.45
0.55
0.36
Both teams scored
36%
36%
36%
Clean sheets
64%
64%
64%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
36%
45%
27%
Goals per game
1.77
1.64
1.91
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.73
Conceded
0.86
0.55
1.18
Both teams scored
27%
27%
27%
Clean sheets
50%
64%
36%
Failed to score
45%
36%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 22/22
77% 17/22
89%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
59% 13/22
70%
74%
Over 2.5
50% 11/22
32% 7/22
41%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
5% 1/22
16%
24%
Over 4.5
9% 2/22
5% 1/22
7%
–
Under 2.5
50% 11/22
68% 15/22
59%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
36% 8/22
27% 6/22
32%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
9% 2/22
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
27% 6/22
14% 3/22
20%
–
Inter
INT
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
82% 18/22
36% 8/22
59%
–
Over 1.5
32% 7/22
18% 4/22
25%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
5% 1/22
7%
–
BTTS
14% 3/22
9% 2/22
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.36 at home
0.73 away
Inter scored 26 in 11 home games
Torino scored 8 in 11 away games
Inter
INT
Torino
TOR
Scored over 0.5
100% 22/22
55% 12/22
Scored over 1.5
68% 15/22
23% 5/22
Scored over 2.5
32% 7/22
14% 3/22
Failed to score
0% 0/22
45% 10/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
1.18 away
Inter conceded 6 in 11 home games
Torino conceded 13 in 11 away games
Inter
INT
Torino
TOR
Conceded over 0.5
36% 8/22
50% 11/22
Conceded over 1.5
9% 2/22
23% 5/22
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/22
9% 2/22
Clean sheets
64% 14/22
50% 11/22
Streaks
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Torino
TOR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.89
4.65
–
Corners conceded
4.39
3.50
–
Match total
10.28
8.15
9.77
Over 8.5
72% 13/18
50% 10/20
–
Over 9.5
61% 11/18
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
44% 8/18
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.41
2.18
–
Opponent cards
2.09
2.18
–
Match total
3.50
4.36
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
64% 14/22
–
Over 4.5
27% 6/22
45% 10/22
–
Shots
Shots
15.73
10.73
–
Opponent shots
10.23
10.86
–
Match total
25.95
21.59
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.23
3.38
–
Opponent on target
2.77
3.81
–
Match total
8.00
7.19
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.27
11.91
–
Opponent fouls
10.77
10.91
–
Match total
22.05
22.82
–
Possession
All games
55%
52%
–
Home games
57%
55%
–
Away games
54%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 51
16%
6%
25%
14%
12%
27%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
0%
Torino
Scored · 20
10%
15%
25%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 19
0%
5%
16%
21%
32%
26%
95%
Scored first
53%
27%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Inter 21 of 22, Torino 9 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
73%27%
Leading 16
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.45
points per game
At half-time
88%
14 of 16
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 27
At half-time
27%68%5%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 1
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 10
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 8 games
2
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 21 · 9 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
···
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
···
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