Stats Prediction
Result probability
85%
11%
Atalanta 85%
Draw 11%
Empoli 4%
2.7 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
Empoli · away
2.25
Goals scored per game
0.64
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.73
1.54x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.58x
0.61x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.18x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Lazio (H) 3-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
57%
14%
29%
Atalanta wins 4
Draws 1
Empoli wins 2
Goals 13 (1.86 per game)
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
71%
5
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Atalanta Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Empoli Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
L
L
1.77
12-3-7
PPG Overall
2.33
9-1-2
PPG at Home
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Away
D
D
W
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
D
L
L
D
D
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
0.75
2-3-7
PPG at Home
0.82
2-3-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Atalanta at home +184% on points per game vs Empoli away (2.33 vs 0.82)
Rest & Schedule
84
days rest
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
85
days rest
Empoli 0-0 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
12
10
Win %
55%
75%
30%
Goals per game
2.82
2.92
2.70
Scored
1.82
2.25
1.30
Conceded
1.00
0.67
1.40
Both teams scored
45%
42%
50%
Clean sheets
45%
58%
30%
Failed to score
14%
8%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
17%
17%
18%
Goals per game
2.22
2.08
2.36
Scored
0.65
0.67
0.64
Conceded
1.57
1.42
1.73
Both teams scored
26%
17%
36%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
57%
67%
45%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
Empoli
EMP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 21/22
87% 20/23
91%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
65% 15/23
74%
74%
Over 2.5
55% 12/22
35% 8/23
45%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
9% 2/23
18%
24%
Over 4.5
23% 5/22
9% 2/23
16%
–
Under 2.5
45% 10/22
65% 15/23
55%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 10/22
26% 6/23
36%
51%
BTTS & win
14% 3/22
0% 0/23
7%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
13% 3/23
25%
–
Atalanta
ATA
Empoli
EMP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
61% 14/23
69%
–
Over 1.5
45% 10/22
22% 5/23
34%
–
Over 2.5
14% 3/22
9% 2/23
11%
–
BTTS
18% 4/22
4% 1/23
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.25 at home
0.64 away
Atalanta scored 27 in 12 home games
Empoli scored 7 in 11 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Empoli
EMP
Scored over 0.5
86% 19/22
43% 10/23
Scored over 1.5
55% 12/22
13% 3/23
Scored over 2.5
27% 6/22
9% 2/23
Failed to score
14% 3/22
57% 13/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.73 away
Atalanta conceded 8 in 12 home games
Empoli conceded 19 in 11 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Empoli
EMP
Conceded over 0.5
55% 12/22
70% 16/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
43% 10/23
Conceded over 2.5
14% 3/22
22% 5/23
Clean sheets
45% 10/22
30% 7/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
Empoli
EMP
League
Corners
Corners won
5.82
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.05
6.00
–
Match total
9.86
11.00
9.77
Over 8.5
64% 14/22
78% 18/23
–
Over 9.5
55% 12/22
70% 16/23
–
Over 10.5
32% 7/22
61% 14/23
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.22
–
Opponent cards
1.91
2.09
–
Match total
3.91
4.30
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
74% 17/23
–
Over 4.5
36% 8/22
35% 8/23
–
Shots
Shots
14.41
11.70
–
Opponent shots
11.09
15.26
–
Match total
25.50
26.96
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.33
3.55
–
Opponent on target
3.67
5.09
–
Match total
9.00
8.64
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.59
12.91
–
Opponent fouls
10.41
13.83
–
Match total
23.00
26.74
–
Possession
All games
52%
46%
–
Home games
52%
46%
–
Away games
51%
46%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 40
15%
8%
20%
20%
10%
27%
Conceded · 22
18%
9%
32%
9%
0%
32%
Empoli
Scored · 15
14%
13%
13%
0%
33%
27%
Conceded · 36
20%
14%
11%
19%
17%
19%
62%
Scored first
25%
28%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Atalanta 13 of 21, Empoli 5 of 20 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
32%32%36%
Leading 7
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.27
points per game
At half-time
100%
7 of 7
Led at HT, won
25%
2 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 23
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
10%
1 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 9
4
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 16 games
3
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 5 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
···
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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