Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
24%
10%
Bologna 66%
Draw 24%
Lecce 10%
1.6 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Lecce · away
1.64
Goals scored per game
0.82
0.64
Goals conceded per game
1.45
1.12x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.00x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sassuolo (H) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (H) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
80%
20%
Bologna wins 4
Draws 1
Lecce wins 0
Goals 12 (2.40 per game)
Goals 7 (1.40 per game)
100%
5
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
80%
4
of 5
Both Teams Scored
20%
1
of 5
Bologna Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 5
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
1.64
9-9-4
PPG Overall
2.36
8-2-1
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
L
L
W
D
D
1.04
5-9-9
PPG Overall
1.58
5-4-3
PPG at Home
0.45
0-5-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Bologna at home +424% on points per game vs Lecce away (2.36 vs 0.45)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
9
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
41%
73%
9%
Goals per game
2.32
2.27
2.36
Scored
1.32
1.64
1.00
Conceded
1.00
0.64
1.36
Both teams scored
55%
36%
73%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
23%
18%
27%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
22%
42%
0%
Goals per game
2.48
2.67
2.27
Scored
1.04
1.25
0.82
Conceded
1.43
1.42
1.45
Both teams scored
61%
58%
64%
Clean sheets
9%
17%
0%
Failed to score
30%
25%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 19/22
100% 23/23
93%
–
Over 1.5
77% 17/22
78% 18/23
78%
74%
Over 2.5
45% 10/22
43% 10/23
44%
50%
Over 3.5
14% 3/22
22% 5/23
18%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
55% 12/22
57% 13/23
56%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
55% 12/22
61% 14/23
58%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
13% 3/23
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
35% 8/23
36%
–
Bologna
BOL
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
68% 15/22
61% 14/23
65%
–
Over 1.5
41% 9/22
22% 5/23
31%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
0% 0/23
5%
–
BTTS
27% 6/22
13% 3/23
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.64 at home
0.82 away
Bologna scored 18 in 11 home games
Lecce scored 9 in 11 away games
Bologna
BOL
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
77% 17/22
70% 16/23
Scored over 1.5
41% 9/22
30% 7/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
Failed to score
23% 5/22
30% 7/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.64 at home
1.45 away
Bologna conceded 7 in 11 home games
Lecce conceded 16 in 11 away games
Bologna
BOL
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
64% 14/22
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
39% 9/23
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/22
9% 2/23
Clean sheets
36% 8/22
9% 2/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.10
4.09
–
Corners conceded
4.80
4.77
–
Match total
8.90
8.86
9.77
Over 8.5
45% 9/20
55% 12/22
–
Over 9.5
30% 6/20
41% 9/22
–
Over 10.5
25% 5/20
32% 7/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
2.78
–
Opponent cards
3.41
2.65
–
Match total
5.91
5.43
4.69
Over 3.5
91% 20/22
83% 19/23
–
Over 4.5
68% 15/22
65% 15/23
–
Shots
Shots
11.95
13.26
–
Opponent shots
10.86
13.78
–
Match total
22.82
27.04
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.27
4.23
–
Opponent on target
3.36
4.77
–
Match total
7.64
9.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.23
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
13.14
14.09
–
Match total
25.36
27.65
–
Possession
All games
58%
45%
–
Home games
58%
46%
–
Away games
57%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 29
7%
31%
7%
17%
10%
28%
Conceded · 22
18%
23%
18%
14%
14%
13%
Lecce
Scored · 24
13%
8%
8%
8%
21%
42%
Conceded · 33
3%
18%
15%
21%
18%
25%
63%
Scored first
43%
28%
Goals after 75'
42%
Scored first: Bologna 12 of 19, Lecce 10 of 23 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
23%50%27%
Leading 5
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.18
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
67%
4 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 16
At half-time
17%52%30%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 7
1.04
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
57%
4 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 17
9
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 16 games
11
11
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 11 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
···
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
···
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