Stats Prediction
Result probability
60%
30%
10%
Lille 60%
Draw 30%
Lens 10%
1.3 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
25% chance
Most Likely Score
22%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
LEN · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.91
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
0.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.70x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Lille wins 1
Draws 2
Lens wins 0
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Lens Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +69% on points per game vs Lens away (2.30 vs 1.36)
Rest & Schedule
56
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
57
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
Lens
LEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
85% 17/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
65% 13/20
70%
72%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
35% 7/20
33%
48%
Over 3.5
15% 3/20
20% 4/20
18%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
68%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
35%
49%
BTTS & win
0% 0/20
10% 2/20
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
20% 4/20
20%
–
Lille
LIL
Lens
LEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
70% 14/20
73%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
20% 4/20
28%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.91 away
Lille scored 18 in 10 home games
Lens scored 10 in 11 away games
Lille
LIL
Lens
LEN
Scored over 0.5
85% 17/20
65% 13/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
Failed to score
15% 3/20
35% 7/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.00 away
Lille conceded 4 in 10 home games
Lens conceded 11 in 11 away games
Lille
LIL
Lens
LEN
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
30% 6/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
50% 10/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
Lens
LEN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.70
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.15
4.21
–
Match total
9.85
9.21
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
58% 11/19
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
47% 9/19
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
37% 7/19
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.95
1.95
–
Match total
3.85
4.35
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
50% 10/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.70
13.90
–
Opponent shots
8.75
11.25
–
Match total
22.45
25.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.24
5.00
–
Opponent on target
3.71
4.05
–
Match total
8.94
9.05
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
13.25
–
Opponent fouls
15.40
13.70
–
Match total
26.10
26.95
–
Possession
All games
58%
52%
–
Home games
57%
51%
–
Away games
58%
53%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
76%
Scored first
53%
21%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Lille 13 of 17, Lens 9 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 9 games
7
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 11 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
···
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