Stats Prediction
Result probability
43%
34%
23%
Montpellier 43%
Draw 34%
Lyon 23%
1.0 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
22%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MON · at home
Lyon · away
0.90
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.56
0.63x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.62x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.09x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Rennes (A) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
41
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Marseille (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Montpellier wins 1
Draws 0
Lyon wins 2
Goals 9 (3.00 per game)
Goals 8 (2.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Montpellier Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Lyon Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
D
L
D
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
1.00
1-7-2
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Montpellier at home +28% on points per game vs Lyon away (1.00 vs 0.78)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
2 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
7
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.25
1.90
2.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.25
1.00
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
50%
30%
Clean sheets
35%
50%
20%
Failed to score
45%
40%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.65
3.00
2.22
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.65
1.73
1.56
Both teams scored
45%
55%
33%
Clean sheets
35%
36%
33%
Failed to score
30%
18%
44%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Montpellier
MON
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
90% 18/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
68%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
50% 10/20
48%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
30% 6/20
28%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
25% 5/20
15%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
50% 10/20
53%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
49%
BTTS & win
5% 1/20
0% 0/20
3%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
35%
–
Montpellier
MON
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
60% 12/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
15% 3/20
45% 9/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.90 at home
0.67 away
Montpellier scored 9 in 10 home games
Lyon scored 6 in 9 away games
Montpellier
MON
Lyon
LYO
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
25% 5/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.56 away
Montpellier conceded 10 in 10 home games
Lyon conceded 14 in 9 away games
Montpellier
MON
Lyon
LYO
Conceded over 0.5
65% 13/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
45% 9/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
35% 7/20
Clean sheets
35% 7/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
1
Won last game
6
Scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Montpellier
MON
Lyon
LYO
League
Corners
Corners won
3.84
4.70
–
Corners conceded
5.21
4.15
–
Match total
9.05
8.85
9.45
Over 8.5
42% 8/19
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
42% 8/19
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
21% 4/19
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.15
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.60
2.00
–
Match total
4.75
4.00
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
40% 8/20
25% 5/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.60
12.35
–
Opponent shots
15.20
12.80
–
Match total
28.80
25.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.11
4.83
–
Opponent on target
5.21
5.33
–
Match total
10.32
10.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.65
13.95
–
Opponent fouls
14.60
11.40
–
Match total
27.25
25.35
–
Possession
All games
44%
51%
–
Home games
45%
52%
–
Away games
42%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Montpellier
Scored · 20
15%
10%
20%
15%
25%
15%
Conceded · 25
28%
4%
8%
20%
24%
16%
Lyon
Scored · 20
5%
20%
10%
20%
20%
25%
Conceded · 33
6%
28%
24%
12%
18%
12%
38%
Scored first
33%
15%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Montpellier 6 of 16, Lyon 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%25%45%
Leading 6
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.15
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
At half-time
15%45%40%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 8
0.90
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 13
2
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 13 games
2
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 7 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
···
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