Stats Prediction
Result probability
62%
21%
17%
Strasbourg 62%
Draw 21%
Lorient 17%
2.0 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
11% chance
Most Likely Score
56%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
STR · at home
LOR · away
1.30
Goals scored per game
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded per game
2.20
0.91x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
1.03x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.53x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Paris Saint Germain (H) 1-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Metz (A) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Strasbourg wins 1
Draws 1
Lorient wins 1
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Strasbourg Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Lorient Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
W
D
L
D
D
1.25
6-7-7
PPG Overall
1.50
4-3-3
PPG at Home
1.00
2-4-4
PPG Away
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
0.80
3-7-10
PPG Overall
1.00
2-4-4
PPG at Home
0.60
1-3-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Strasbourg at home +150% on points per game vs Lorient away (1.50 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
16
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
14
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
2.35
2.40
2.30
Scored
1.05
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
1.10
1.50
Both teams scored
65%
70%
60%
Clean sheets
15%
20%
10%
Failed to score
25%
20%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
15%
20%
10%
Goals per game
3.40
3.70
3.10
Scored
1.30
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.10
2.00
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
10%
10%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Strasbourg
STR
Lorient
LOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
90% 18/20
93%
–
Over 1.5
85% 17/20
80% 16/20
83%
72%
Over 2.5
50% 10/20
70% 14/20
60%
48%
Over 3.5
5% 1/20
40% 8/20
23%
26%
Over 4.5
0% 0/20
30% 6/20
15%
–
Under 2.5
50% 10/20
30% 6/20
40%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
65% 13/20
60% 12/20
63%
49%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
45%
–
Strasbourg
STR
Lorient
LOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
65% 13/20
70%
–
Over 1.5
30% 6/20
50% 10/20
40%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/20
25% 5/20
13%
–
BTTS
10% 2/20
40% 8/20
25%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.30 at home
0.90 away
Strasbourg scored 13 in 10 home games
Lorient scored 9 in 10 away games
Strasbourg
STR
Lorient
LOR
Scored over 0.5
75% 15/20
60% 12/20
Scored over 1.5
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.10 at home
2.20 away
Strasbourg conceded 11 in 10 home games
Lorient conceded 22 in 10 away games
Strasbourg
STR
Lorient
LOR
Conceded over 0.5
85% 17/20
90% 18/20
Conceded over 1.5
35% 7/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
10% 2/20
45% 9/20
Clean sheets
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
Streaks
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
9
Scored in a row
9
Conceded in a row
9
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
9
Conceded in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Strasbourg
STR
Lorient
LOR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.37
3.89
–
Corners conceded
5.00
5.61
–
Match total
8.37
9.50
9.45
Over 8.5
37% 7/19
50% 9/18
–
Over 9.5
32% 6/19
39% 7/18
–
Over 10.5
21% 4/19
33% 6/18
–
Cards
Cards
1.70
2.05
–
Opponent cards
2.05
1.80
–
Match total
3.75
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
–
Shots
Shots
10.55
8.95
–
Opponent shots
12.25
15.80
–
Match total
22.80
24.75
25.14
Shots on target
On target
3.74
3.94
–
Opponent on target
3.37
6.50
–
Match total
7.11
10.44
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.70
12.35
–
Opponent fouls
12.55
13.10
–
Match total
26.25
25.45
–
Possession
All games
41%
46%
–
Home games
40%
46%
–
Away games
43%
46%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Strasbourg
Scored · 21
10%
5%
9%
9%
24%
43%
Conceded · 26
11%
19%
31%
27%
4%
8%
Lorient
Scored · 26
23%
12%
12%
19%
11%
23%
Conceded · 42
12%
21%
14%
12%
17%
24%
37%
Scored first
33%
43%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Strasbourg 7 of 19, Lorient 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
15%35%50%
Leading 3
Level 7
Trailing 10
0.80
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
40%
4 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 16
At half-time
15%55%30%
Leading 3
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.00
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
1 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
7
Points won from losing positions in 12 · 15 games
5
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 8 games
12
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
···
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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