Stats Prediction
Result probability
71%
22%
Lille 71%
Draw 22%
LE Havre 7%
1.7 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
HAV · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.36
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.93x
0.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.95x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monaco (A) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
W
1.20
5-9-6
PPG Overall
1.56
4-2-3
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +153% on points per game vs LE Havre away (2.30 vs 0.91)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
14
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
25%
44%
9%
Goals per game
2.35
2.33
2.36
Scored
1.15
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.36
Both teams scored
50%
44%
55%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
45%
44%
45%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
LE Havre
HAV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
75% 15/20
80%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
70% 14/20
73%
72%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
55% 11/20
43%
48%
Over 3.5
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
20%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
45% 9/20
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
45%
49%
BTTS & win
0% 0/20
20% 4/20
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
45% 9/20
33%
–
Lille
LIL
LE Havre
HAV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
60% 12/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
25% 5/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
1.00 away
Lille scored 18 in 10 home games
LE Havre scored 11 in 11 away games
Lille
LIL
LE Havre
HAV
Scored over 0.5
85% 17/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
15% 3/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.36 away
Lille conceded 4 in 10 home games
LE Havre conceded 15 in 11 away games
Lille
LIL
LE Havre
HAV
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
70% 14/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
30% 6/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
LE Havre
HAV
League
Corners
Corners won
5.70
3.70
–
Corners conceded
4.15
4.95
–
Match total
9.85
8.65
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
40% 8/20
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.95
1.95
–
Match total
3.85
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.70
10.90
–
Opponent shots
8.75
14.10
–
Match total
22.45
25.00
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.24
4.38
–
Opponent on target
3.71
4.88
–
Match total
8.94
9.25
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
13.50
–
Opponent fouls
15.40
10.50
–
Match total
26.10
24.00
–
Possession
All games
58%
44%
–
Home games
57%
43%
–
Away games
58%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
LE Havre
Scored · 23
22%
4%
9%
22%
17%
26%
Conceded · 24
4%
29%
13%
29%
4%
21%
76%
Scored first
40%
21%
Goals after 75'
26%
Scored first: Lille 13 of 17, LE Havre 6 of 15 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
At half-time
20%45%35%
Leading 4
Level 9
Trailing 7
1.05
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 15
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 11 games
7
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 7 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
···
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
···
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