Stats Prediction
Result probability
62%
23%
15%
Monaco 62%
Draw 23%
Toulouse 15%
1.7 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
43%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Monaco · at home
TOU · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
0.82
0.90
Goals conceded per game
1.45
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.76x
0.84x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.01x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs LE Havre (H) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Reims (A) 2-3 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Monaco wins 2
Draws 0
Toulouse wins 1
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Monaco Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Toulouse Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
D
W
1.75
10-5-5
PPG Overall
1.90
6-1-3
PPG at Home
1.60
4-4-2
PPG Away
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
L
D
L
D
L
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
0.89
1-5-3
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Monaco at home +74% on points per game vs Toulouse away (1.90 vs 1.09)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
14
days rest
Reims 2-3 Toulouse
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
3.25
2.60
3.90
Scored
1.85
1.70
2.00
Conceded
1.40
0.90
1.90
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
25%
40%
10%
Failed to score
20%
20%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
20%
11%
27%
Goals per game
2.30
2.33
2.27
Scored
0.95
1.11
0.82
Conceded
1.35
1.22
1.45
Both teams scored
55%
67%
45%
Clean sheets
20%
22%
18%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Monaco
MON
Toulouse
TOU
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
90% 18/20
93%
–
Over 1.5
85% 17/20
80% 16/20
83%
72%
Over 2.5
65% 13/20
45% 9/20
55%
48%
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
10% 2/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
5% 1/20
13%
–
Under 2.5
35% 7/20
55% 11/20
45%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
58%
49%
BTTS & win
30% 6/20
10% 2/20
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 11/20
30% 6/20
43%
–
Monaco
MON
Toulouse
TOU
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
60% 12/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
55% 11/20
30% 6/20
43%
–
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
15% 3/20
23%
–
BTTS
40% 8/20
15% 3/20
28%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
0.82 away
Monaco scored 17 in 10 home games
Toulouse scored 9 in 11 away games
Monaco
MON
Toulouse
TOU
Scored over 0.5
80% 16/20
65% 13/20
Scored over 1.5
70% 14/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
30% 6/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.90 at home
1.45 away
Monaco conceded 9 in 10 home games
Toulouse conceded 16 in 11 away games
Monaco
MON
Toulouse
TOU
Conceded over 0.5
75% 15/20
80% 16/20
Conceded over 1.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
25% 5/20
20% 4/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Monaco
MON
Toulouse
TOU
League
Corners
Corners won
5.85
3.84
–
Corners conceded
4.10
5.63
–
Match total
9.95
9.47
9.45
Over 8.5
65% 13/20
53% 10/19
–
Over 9.5
60% 12/20
47% 9/19
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
32% 6/19
–
Cards
Cards
2.70
2.55
–
Opponent cards
1.75
2.15
–
Match total
4.45
4.70
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
80% 16/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
50% 10/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.65
11.40
–
Opponent shots
10.85
14.35
–
Match total
25.50
25.75
25.14
Shots on target
On target
6.16
4.15
–
Opponent on target
4.53
4.45
–
Match total
10.68
8.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.85
14.95
–
Opponent fouls
12.00
13.25
–
Match total
26.85
28.20
–
Possession
All games
54%
49%
–
Home games
57%
49%
–
Away games
51%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Monaco
Scored · 37
8%
24%
19%
24%
14%
11%
Conceded · 28
25%
7%
18%
18%
11%
21%
Toulouse
Scored · 19
26%
5%
26%
11%
16%
16%
Conceded · 27
7%
15%
15%
19%
11%
33%
42%
Scored first
50%
11%
Goals after 75'
16%
Scored first: Monaco 8 of 19, Toulouse 9 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 18
At half-time
25%45%30%
Leading 5
Level 9
Trailing 6
1.20
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 8
14
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 12 games
6
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 10 games
15
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
···
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
···
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