Stats Prediction
Result probability
68%
20%
12%
Stade Brestois 29 68%
Draw 20%
Marseille 12%
2.0 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
51%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BRE · at home
MAR · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded per game
1.70
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.03x
0.65x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.19x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Nice (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Lyon (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Stade Brestois 29 wins 1
Draws 1
Marseille wins 1
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Marseille Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
1.80
10-6-4
PPG Overall
1.90
5-4-1
PPG at Home
1.70
5-2-3
PPG Away
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
1.45
7-8-5
PPG Overall
2.20
6-4-0
PPG at Home
0.70
1-4-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Stade Brestois 29 at home +171% on points per game vs Marseille away (1.90 vs 0.70)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
14
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
50%
50%
Goals per game
2.30
2.40
2.20
Scored
1.45
1.70
1.20
Conceded
0.85
0.70
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
45%
60%
30%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
35%
60%
10%
Goals per game
2.50
2.20
2.80
Scored
1.40
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
0.50
1.70
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
0%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Marseille
MAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
90% 18/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
75% 15/20
73%
72%
Over 2.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
Under 2.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
45%
49%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
30% 6/20
30%
–
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Marseille
MAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
80% 16/20
73%
–
Over 1.5
25% 5/20
50% 10/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
15%
–
BTTS
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
1.10 away
Stade Brestois 29 scored 17 in 10 home games
Marseille scored 11 in 10 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Marseille
MAR
Scored over 0.5
70% 14/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
50% 10/20
50% 10/20
Scored over 2.5
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
Failed to score
30% 6/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.70 at home
1.70 away
Stade Brestois 29 conceded 7 in 10 home games
Marseille conceded 17 in 10 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Marseille
MAR
Conceded over 0.5
55% 11/20
70% 14/20
Conceded over 1.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
Streaks
9
Unbeaten last loss 10 games ago
4
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
6
Conceded in a row
4
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Marseille
MAR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
5.85
–
Corners conceded
4.76
4.50
–
Match total
9.76
10.35
9.45
Over 8.5
53% 9/17
65% 13/20
–
Over 9.5
53% 9/17
55% 11/20
–
Over 10.5
35% 6/17
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.35
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.85
2.70
–
Match total
4.20
4.50
3.98
Over 3.5
70% 14/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.50
13.75
–
Opponent shots
10.70
11.20
–
Match total
25.20
24.95
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.05
4.67
–
Opponent on target
4.10
4.22
–
Match total
9.15
8.89
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.10
11.05
–
Opponent fouls
13.15
13.65
–
Match total
25.25
24.70
–
Possession
All games
53%
53%
–
Home games
55%
52%
–
Away games
52%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Stade Brestois 29
Scored · 29
0%
21%
17%
34%
7%
21%
Conceded · 17
17%
35%
12%
12%
12%
12%
Marseille
Scored · 28
29%
28%
14%
11%
11%
7%
Conceded · 22
27%
5%
23%
18%
9%
18%
53%
Scored first
56%
21%
Goals after 75'
7%
Scored first: Stade Brestois 29 9 of 17, Marseille 10 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
25%35%40%
Leading 5
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.10
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
4 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 18
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 202nd 8
8
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 10 games
7
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 11 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
···
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