Stats Prediction
Result probability
68%
25%
Juventus 68%
Draw 25%
Monza 7%
1.5 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
25% chance
Most Likely Score
27%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Juventus · at home
Monza · away
1.55
Goals scored per game
0.75
0.45
Goals conceded per game
1.42
1.06x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.69x
0.42x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Inter (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Udinese (A) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Juventus wins 1
Draws 0
Monza wins 2
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Juventus Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Monza Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
2.30
16-5-2
PPG Overall
2.45
8-3-0
PPG at Home
2.17
8-2-2
PPG Away
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
L
L
W
L
1.26
7-8-8
PPG Overall
1.45
4-4-3
PPG at Home
1.08
3-4-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Juventus at home +127% on points per game vs Monza away (2.45 vs 1.08)
Rest & Schedule
112
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
113
days rest
Udinese 0-0 Monza
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
70%
73%
67%
Goals per game
2.17
2.00
2.33
Scored
1.57
1.55
1.58
Conceded
0.61
0.45
0.75
Both teams scored
43%
45%
42%
Clean sheets
52%
55%
50%
Failed to score
9%
0%
17%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
30%
36%
25%
Goals per game
2.13
2.09
2.17
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.75
Conceded
1.22
1.00
1.42
Both teams scored
39%
45%
33%
Clean sheets
35%
45%
25%
Failed to score
39%
18%
58%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Juventus
JUV
Monza
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
96% 22/23
87% 20/23
91%
–
Over 1.5
65% 15/23
65% 15/23
65%
74%
Over 2.5
39% 9/23
35% 8/23
37%
50%
Over 3.5
9% 2/23
13% 3/23
11%
24%
Over 4.5
4% 1/23
9% 2/23
7%
–
Under 2.5
61% 14/23
65% 15/23
63%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 10/23
39% 9/23
41%
51%
BTTS & win
22% 5/23
9% 2/23
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
26% 6/23
17% 4/23
22%
–
Juventus
JUV
Monza
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 13/23
70% 16/23
63%
–
Over 1.5
22% 5/23
35% 8/23
28%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/23
0% 0/23
4%
–
BTTS
9% 2/23
9% 2/23
9%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.55 at home
0.75 away
Juventus scored 17 in 11 home games
Monza scored 9 in 12 away games
Juventus
JUV
Monza
MON
Scored over 0.5
91% 21/23
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
48% 11/23
17% 4/23
Scored over 2.5
17% 4/23
13% 3/23
Failed to score
9% 2/23
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.45 at home
1.42 away
Juventus conceded 5 in 11 home games
Monza conceded 17 in 12 away games
Juventus
JUV
Monza
MON
Conceded over 0.5
48% 11/23
65% 15/23
Conceded over 1.5
4% 1/23
30% 7/23
Conceded over 2.5
4% 1/23
17% 4/23
Clean sheets
52% 12/23
35% 8/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Juventus
JUV
Monza
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
5.18
4.96
–
Corners conceded
4.86
4.87
–
Match total
10.05
9.83
9.77
Over 8.5
73% 16/22
70% 16/23
–
Over 9.5
59% 13/22
57% 13/23
–
Over 10.5
27% 6/22
48% 11/23
–
Cards
Cards
2.43
2.43
–
Opponent cards
1.78
2.00
–
Match total
4.22
4.43
4.69
Over 3.5
57% 13/23
57% 13/23
–
Over 4.5
43% 10/23
30% 7/23
–
Shots
Shots
13.57
12.22
–
Opponent shots
11.91
14.96
–
Match total
25.48
27.17
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.95
3.52
–
Opponent on target
3.05
5.13
–
Match total
7.00
8.65
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.13
11.65
–
Opponent fouls
10.96
11.13
–
Match total
23.09
22.78
–
Possession
All games
47%
55%
–
Home games
45%
56%
–
Away games
49%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Juventus
Scored · 36
17%
17%
5%
19%
17%
25%
Conceded · 14
7%
7%
29%
14%
22%
21%
Monza
Scored · 21
5%
19%
24%
9%
24%
19%
Conceded · 28
36%
0%
14%
11%
11%
28%
82%
Scored first
40%
25%
Goals after 75'
19%
Scored first: Juventus 18 of 22, Monza 8 of 20 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%48%17%
Leading 8
Level 11
Trailing 4
1.52
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 22
At half-time
26%39%35%
Leading 6
Level 9
Trailing 8
1.17
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
13%
1 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 11
4
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 12 games
4
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 8 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
···
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
···
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