Stats Prediction
Result probability
71%
21%
8%
Atalanta 71%
Draw 21%
Torino 8%
1.8 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
19% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
Torino · away
2.25
Goals scored per game
0.73
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.18
1.54x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.67x
0.61x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.81x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Lazio (H) 3-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Salernitana (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
20%
30%
Atalanta wins 5
Draws 2
Torino wins 3
Goals 27 (2.70 per game)
Goals 20 (2.00 per game)
100%
10
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Atalanta Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
L
L
1.77
12-3-7
PPG Overall
2.33
9-1-2
PPG at Home
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Away
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
1.45
8-8-6
PPG Overall
1.82
5-5-1
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Atalanta at home +114% on points per game vs Torino away (2.33 vs 1.09)
Rest & Schedule
112
days rest
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
112
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
12
10
Win %
55%
75%
30%
Goals per game
2.82
2.92
2.70
Scored
1.82
2.25
1.30
Conceded
1.00
0.67
1.40
Both teams scored
45%
42%
50%
Clean sheets
45%
58%
30%
Failed to score
14%
8%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
36%
45%
27%
Goals per game
1.77
1.64
1.91
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.73
Conceded
0.86
0.55
1.18
Both teams scored
27%
27%
27%
Clean sheets
50%
64%
36%
Failed to score
45%
36%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 21/22
77% 17/22
86%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
59% 13/22
70%
74%
Over 2.5
55% 12/22
32% 7/22
43%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
5% 1/22
16%
24%
Over 4.5
23% 5/22
5% 1/22
14%
–
Under 2.5
45% 10/22
68% 15/22
57%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 10/22
27% 6/22
36%
51%
BTTS & win
14% 3/22
9% 2/22
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
14% 3/22
25%
–
Atalanta
ATA
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
36% 8/22
57%
–
Over 1.5
45% 10/22
18% 4/22
32%
–
Over 2.5
14% 3/22
5% 1/22
9%
–
BTTS
18% 4/22
9% 2/22
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.25 at home
0.73 away
Atalanta scored 27 in 12 home games
Torino scored 8 in 11 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Torino
TOR
Scored over 0.5
86% 19/22
55% 12/22
Scored over 1.5
55% 12/22
23% 5/22
Scored over 2.5
27% 6/22
14% 3/22
Failed to score
14% 3/22
45% 10/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.18 away
Atalanta conceded 8 in 12 home games
Torino conceded 13 in 11 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Torino
TOR
Conceded over 0.5
55% 12/22
50% 11/22
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
23% 5/22
Conceded over 2.5
14% 3/22
9% 2/22
Clean sheets
45% 10/22
50% 11/22
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
Torino
TOR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.82
4.65
–
Corners conceded
4.05
3.50
–
Match total
9.86
8.15
9.77
Over 8.5
64% 14/22
50% 10/20
–
Over 9.5
55% 12/22
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
32% 7/22
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.18
–
Opponent cards
1.91
2.18
–
Match total
3.91
4.36
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
64% 14/22
–
Over 4.5
36% 8/22
45% 10/22
–
Shots
Shots
14.41
10.73
–
Opponent shots
11.09
10.86
–
Match total
25.50
21.59
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.33
3.38
–
Opponent on target
3.67
3.81
–
Match total
9.00
7.19
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.59
11.91
–
Opponent fouls
10.41
10.91
–
Match total
23.00
22.82
–
Possession
All games
52%
52%
–
Home games
52%
55%
–
Away games
51%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 40
15%
8%
20%
20%
10%
27%
Conceded · 22
18%
9%
32%
9%
0%
32%
Torino
Scored · 20
10%
15%
25%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 19
0%
5%
16%
21%
32%
26%
62%
Scored first
53%
28%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Atalanta 13 of 21, Torino 9 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
32%32%36%
Leading 7
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.27
points per game
At half-time
100%
7 of 7
Led at HT, won
25%
2 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 23
At half-time
27%68%5%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 1
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 10
4
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 8 games
2
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 9 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
···
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
···
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