Stats Prediction
Result probability
71%
20%
9%
AS Roma 71%
Draw 20%
Torino 9%
1.9 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
43%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
AS Roma · at home
Torino · away
2.33
Goals scored per game
0.73
0.75
Goals conceded per game
1.18
1.60x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.67x
0.69x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.81x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Cagliari (H) 4-0 · 5 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Salernitana (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
60%
20%
20%
AS Roma wins 6
Draws 2
Torino wins 2
Goals 17 (1.70 per game)
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
AS Roma Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
L
W
L
D
W
1.65
11-5-7
PPG Overall
2.25
8-3-1
PPG at Home
1.00
3-2-6
PPG Away
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
1.45
8-8-6
PPG Overall
1.82
5-5-1
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
Venue form: AS Roma at home +106% on points per game vs Torino away (2.25 vs 1.09)
Rest & Schedule
20
days rest
AS Roma 4-0 Cagliari
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
48%
67%
27%
Goals per game
2.87
3.08
2.64
Scored
1.74
2.33
1.09
Conceded
1.13
0.75
1.55
Both teams scored
61%
58%
64%
Clean sheets
26%
42%
9%
Failed to score
17%
0%
36%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
36%
45%
27%
Goals per game
1.77
1.64
1.91
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.73
Conceded
0.86
0.55
1.18
Both teams scored
27%
27%
27%
Clean sheets
50%
64%
36%
Failed to score
45%
36%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
AS Roma
AS
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
96% 22/23
77% 17/22
86%
–
Over 1.5
83% 19/23
59% 13/22
71%
74%
Over 2.5
57% 13/23
32% 7/22
44%
50%
Over 3.5
30% 7/23
5% 1/22
17%
24%
Over 4.5
13% 3/23
5% 1/22
9%
–
Under 2.5
43% 10/23
68% 15/22
56%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
61% 14/23
27% 6/22
44%
51%
BTTS & win
26% 6/23
9% 2/22
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
48% 11/23
14% 3/22
31%
–
AS Roma
AS
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 15/23
36% 8/22
51%
–
Over 1.5
35% 8/23
18% 4/22
26%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/23
5% 1/22
7%
–
BTTS
13% 3/23
9% 2/22
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.33 at home
0.73 away
AS Roma scored 28 in 12 home games
Torino scored 8 in 11 away games
AS Roma
AS
Torino
TOR
Scored over 0.5
83% 19/23
55% 12/22
Scored over 1.5
48% 11/23
23% 5/22
Scored over 2.5
17% 4/23
14% 3/22
Failed to score
17% 4/23
45% 10/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
1.18 away
AS Roma conceded 9 in 12 home games
Torino conceded 13 in 11 away games
AS Roma
AS
Torino
TOR
Conceded over 0.5
74% 17/23
50% 11/22
Conceded over 1.5
26% 6/23
23% 5/22
Conceded over 2.5
9% 2/23
9% 2/22
Clean sheets
26% 6/23
50% 11/22
Streaks
Match Totals
AS Roma
AS
Torino
TOR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.95
4.65
–
Corners conceded
3.40
3.50
–
Match total
8.35
8.15
9.77
Over 8.5
35% 7/20
50% 10/20
–
Over 9.5
35% 7/20
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
25% 5/20
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.57
2.18
–
Opponent cards
3.04
2.18
–
Match total
5.61
4.36
4.69
Over 3.5
83% 19/23
64% 14/22
–
Over 4.5
65% 15/23
45% 10/22
–
Shots
Shots
12.39
10.73
–
Opponent shots
10.48
10.86
–
Match total
22.87
21.59
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.91
3.38
–
Opponent on target
3.36
3.81
–
Match total
7.27
7.19
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.39
11.91
–
Opponent fouls
12.00
10.91
–
Match total
24.39
22.82
–
Possession
All games
54%
52%
–
Home games
52%
55%
–
Away games
56%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
AS Roma
Scored · 40
10%
23%
5%
18%
7%
37%
Conceded · 26
19%
4%
16%
23%
15%
23%
Torino
Scored · 20
10%
15%
25%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 19
0%
5%
16%
21%
32%
26%
55%
Scored first
53%
38%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: AS Roma 12 of 22, Torino 9 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%43%26%
Leading 7
Level 10
Trailing 6
1.35
points per game
At half-time
86%
6 of 7
Led at HT, won
17%
1 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 25
At half-time
27%68%5%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 1
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 10
8
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 8 games
2
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 9 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
···
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