Stats Prediction
Result probability
68%
23%
9%
Bologna 68%
Draw 23%
Verona 9%
1.7 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
36%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Verona · away
1.64
Goals scored per game
0.75
0.64
Goals conceded per game
1.50
1.12x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.69x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.03x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sassuolo (H) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Napoli (A) 2-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
22%
56%
22%
Bologna wins 2
Draws 5
Verona wins 2
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
67%
6
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
1
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Both Teams Scored
33%
3
of 9
Bologna Clean Sheets
11%
1
of 9
Verona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
1.64
9-9-4
PPG Overall
2.36
8-2-1
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
W
L
D
D
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
1.18
3-4-4
PPG at Home
0.42
1-2-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Bologna at home +462% on points per game vs Verona away (2.36 vs 0.42)
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
Napoli 2-1 Verona
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
41%
73%
9%
Goals per game
2.32
2.27
2.36
Scored
1.32
1.64
1.00
Conceded
1.00
0.64
1.36
Both teams scored
55%
36%
73%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
23%
18%
27%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
17%
27%
8%
Goals per game
2.30
2.36
2.25
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.75
Conceded
1.39
1.27
1.50
Both teams scored
57%
64%
50%
Clean sheets
17%
18%
17%
Failed to score
35%
27%
42%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Verona
VER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 19/22
91% 21/23
89%
–
Over 1.5
77% 17/22
61% 14/23
69%
74%
Over 2.5
45% 10/22
48% 11/23
47%
50%
Over 3.5
14% 3/22
22% 5/23
18%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
55% 12/22
52% 12/23
53%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
55% 12/22
57% 13/23
56%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
9% 2/23
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
48% 11/23
42%
–
Bologna
BOL
Verona
VER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
68% 15/22
65% 15/23
67%
–
Over 1.5
41% 9/22
22% 5/23
31%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
7%
–
BTTS
27% 6/22
9% 2/23
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.64 at home
0.75 away
Bologna scored 18 in 11 home games
Verona scored 9 in 12 away games
Bologna
BOL
Verona
VER
Scored over 0.5
77% 17/22
65% 15/23
Scored over 1.5
41% 9/22
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
Failed to score
23% 5/22
35% 8/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.64 at home
1.50 away
Bologna conceded 7 in 11 home games
Verona conceded 18 in 12 away games
Bologna
BOL
Verona
VER
Conceded over 0.5
64% 14/22
83% 19/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
39% 9/23
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/22
17% 4/23
Clean sheets
36% 8/22
17% 4/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Verona
VER
League
Corners
Corners won
4.10
3.55
–
Corners conceded
4.80
5.64
–
Match total
8.90
9.18
9.77
Over 8.5
45% 9/20
45% 10/22
–
Over 9.5
30% 6/20
45% 10/22
–
Over 10.5
25% 5/20
41% 9/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
2.48
–
Opponent cards
3.41
2.30
–
Match total
5.91
4.78
4.69
Over 3.5
91% 20/22
83% 19/23
–
Over 4.5
68% 15/22
57% 13/23
–
Shots
Shots
11.95
11.30
–
Opponent shots
10.86
13.48
–
Match total
22.82
24.78
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.27
3.86
–
Opponent on target
3.36
4.73
–
Match total
7.64
8.59
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.23
13.43
–
Opponent fouls
13.14
13.00
–
Match total
25.36
26.43
–
Possession
All games
58%
44%
–
Home games
58%
43%
–
Away games
57%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 29
7%
31%
7%
17%
10%
28%
Conceded · 22
18%
23%
18%
14%
14%
13%
Verona
Scored · 21
9%
0%
19%
19%
24%
29%
Conceded · 32
13%
22%
12%
12%
22%
19%
63%
Scored first
29%
28%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Bologna 12 of 19, Verona 6 of 21 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
23%50%27%
Leading 5
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.18
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
67%
4 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 16
At half-time
13%39%48%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 11
0.78
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
18%
2 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 15
9
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 16 games
3
11
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 6 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
···
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
···
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