Stats Prediction
Result probability
78%
18%
Juventus 78%
Draw 18%
Salernitana 4%
1.9 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
22% chance
Most Likely Score
37%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Juventus · at home
Salernitana · away
1.55
Goals scored per game
0.64
0.45
Goals conceded per game
1.82
1.06x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.58x
0.42x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.25x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Inter (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Torino (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
11
65
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
80%
20%
Juventus wins 4
Draws 1
Salernitana wins 0
Goals 11 (2.20 per game)
Goals 3 (0.60 per game)
100%
5
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2
of 5
Both Teams Scored
60%
3
of 5
Juventus Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 5
Salernitana Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
2.30
16-5-2
PPG Overall
2.45
8-3-0
PPG at Home
2.17
8-2-2
PPG Away
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
0.57
2-7-14
PPG Overall
0.58
1-4-7
PPG at Home
0.55
1-3-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Juventus at home +345% on points per game vs Salernitana away (2.45 vs 0.55)
Rest & Schedule
98
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
98
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
70%
73%
67%
Goals per game
2.17
2.00
2.33
Scored
1.57
1.55
1.58
Conceded
0.61
0.45
0.75
Both teams scored
43%
45%
42%
Clean sheets
52%
55%
50%
Failed to score
9%
0%
17%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.74
3.00
2.45
Scored
0.83
1.00
0.64
Conceded
1.91
2.00
1.82
Both teams scored
57%
75%
36%
Clean sheets
9%
0%
18%
Failed to score
39%
25%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Juventus
JUV
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
96% 22/23
96% 22/23
96%
–
Over 1.5
65% 15/23
83% 19/23
74%
74%
Over 2.5
39% 9/23
65% 15/23
52%
50%
Over 3.5
9% 2/23
26% 6/23
17%
24%
Over 4.5
4% 1/23
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
61% 14/23
35% 8/23
48%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 10/23
57% 13/23
50%
51%
BTTS & win
22% 5/23
4% 1/23
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
26% 6/23
48% 11/23
37%
–
Juventus
JUV
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 13/23
74% 17/23
65%
–
Over 1.5
22% 5/23
39% 9/23
30%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/23
4% 1/23
7%
–
BTTS
9% 2/23
22% 5/23
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.55 at home
0.64 away
Juventus scored 17 in 11 home games
Salernitana scored 7 in 11 away games
Juventus
JUV
Salernitana
SAL
Scored over 0.5
91% 21/23
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
48% 11/23
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
17% 4/23
0% 0/23
Failed to score
9% 2/23
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.45 at home
1.82 away
Juventus conceded 5 in 11 home games
Salernitana conceded 20 in 11 away games
Juventus
JUV
Salernitana
SAL
Conceded over 0.5
48% 11/23
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
4% 1/23
70% 16/23
Conceded over 2.5
4% 1/23
22% 5/23
Clean sheets
52% 12/23
9% 2/23
Streaks
2
Without a win last win 3 games ago
2
Conceded in a row
5
Longest win run this season
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
Match Totals
Juventus
JUV
Salernitana
SAL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.18
4.57
–
Corners conceded
4.86
6.19
–
Match total
10.05
10.76
9.77
Over 8.5
73% 16/22
76% 16/21
–
Over 9.5
59% 13/22
76% 16/21
–
Over 10.5
27% 6/22
62% 13/21
–
Cards
Cards
2.43
2.52
–
Opponent cards
1.78
2.35
–
Match total
4.22
4.87
4.69
Over 3.5
57% 13/23
65% 15/23
–
Over 4.5
43% 10/23
48% 11/23
–
Shots
Shots
13.57
10.57
–
Opponent shots
11.91
14.78
–
Match total
25.48
25.35
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.95
3.32
–
Opponent on target
3.05
5.50
–
Match total
7.00
8.82
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.13
12.57
–
Opponent fouls
10.96
13.00
–
Match total
23.09
25.57
–
Possession
All games
47%
44%
–
Home games
45%
43%
–
Away games
49%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Juventus
Scored · 36
17%
17%
5%
19%
17%
25%
Conceded · 14
7%
7%
29%
14%
22%
21%
Salernitana
Scored · 19
16%
11%
16%
21%
26%
10%
Conceded · 44
18%
11%
14%
18%
7%
32%
82%
Scored first
27%
25%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Juventus 18 of 22, Salernitana 6 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%48%17%
Leading 8
Level 11
Trailing 4
1.52
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 22
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 11
4
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 20 games
8
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 9 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
···
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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