Stats Prediction
Result probability
50%
25%
25%
LE Havre 50%
Draw 25%
Marseille 25%
1.6 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
48%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
HAV · at home
MAR · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.70
0.93x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.03x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.19x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monaco (A) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Lyon (A) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
W
1.20
5-9-6
PPG Overall
1.56
4-2-3
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
1.45
7-8-5
PPG Overall
2.20
6-4-0
PPG at Home
0.70
1-4-5
PPG Away
Venue form: LE Havre at home +123% on points per game vs Marseille away (1.56 vs 0.70)
Rest & Schedule
104
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
104
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
25%
44%
9%
Goals per game
2.35
2.33
2.36
Scored
1.15
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.36
Both teams scored
50%
44%
55%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
45%
44%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
35%
60%
10%
Goals per game
2.50
2.20
2.80
Scored
1.40
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
0.50
1.70
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
0%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
LE Havre
HAV
Marseille
MAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
90% 18/20
83%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
75% 15/20
73%
72%
Over 2.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
50%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
45% 9/20
55% 11/20
50%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 10/20
50% 10/20
50%
49%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
38%
–
LE Havre
HAV
Marseille
MAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 12/20
80% 16/20
70%
–
Over 1.5
25% 5/20
50% 10/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.10 away
LE Havre scored 12 in 9 home games
Marseille scored 11 in 10 away games
LE Havre
HAV
Marseille
MAR
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
Scored over 2.5
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.70 away
LE Havre conceded 9 in 9 home games
Marseille conceded 17 in 10 away games
LE Havre
HAV
Marseille
MAR
Conceded over 0.5
70% 14/20
70% 14/20
Conceded over 1.5
40% 8/20
25% 5/20
Conceded over 2.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
30% 6/20
30% 6/20
Streaks
Match Totals
LE Havre
HAV
Marseille
MAR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.70
5.85
–
Corners conceded
4.95
4.50
–
Match total
8.65
10.35
9.45
Over 8.5
45% 9/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 9.5
40% 8/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 10.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.70
–
Match total
3.85
4.50
3.98
Over 3.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
–
Shots
Shots
10.90
13.75
–
Opponent shots
14.10
11.20
–
Match total
25.00
24.95
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.38
4.67
–
Opponent on target
4.88
4.22
–
Match total
9.25
8.89
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.50
11.05
–
Opponent fouls
10.50
13.65
–
Match total
24.00
24.70
–
Possession
All games
44%
53%
–
Home games
43%
52%
–
Away games
45%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
LE Havre
Scored · 23
22%
4%
9%
22%
17%
26%
Conceded · 24
4%
29%
13%
29%
4%
21%
Marseille
Scored · 28
29%
28%
14%
11%
11%
7%
Conceded · 22
27%
5%
23%
18%
9%
18%
40%
Scored first
56%
26%
Goals after 75'
7%
Scored first: LE Havre 6 of 15, Marseille 10 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%45%35%
Leading 4
Level 9
Trailing 7
1.05
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 15
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 202nd 8
7
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 10 games
7
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 11 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
···
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