Stats Prediction
Result probability
57%
33%
10%
Lille 57%
Draw 33%
Nice 10%
1.1 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
27% chance
Most Likely Score
17%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
NIC · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.80
0.40
Goals conceded per game
0.90
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
0.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.63x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Stade Brestois 29 (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Lille wins 0
Draws 1
Nice wins 2
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Nice Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
1.95
11-6-3
PPG Overall
2.40
7-3-0
PPG at Home
1.50
4-3-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +53% on points per game vs Nice away (2.30 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
104
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
104
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
55%
70%
40%
Goals per game
1.55
1.40
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.55
0.20
0.90
Both teams scored
25%
20%
30%
Clean sheets
65%
80%
50%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
80% 16/20
83%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
45% 9/20
60%
72%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
15% 3/20
23%
48%
Over 3.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
85% 17/20
78%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
25% 5/20
33%
49%
BTTS & win
0% 0/20
10% 2/20
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
18%
–
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
40% 8/20
58%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
10% 2/20
23%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
0% 0/20
3%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.80 away
Lille scored 18 in 10 home games
Nice scored 8 in 10 away games
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
Scored over 0.5
85% 17/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
25% 5/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
Failed to score
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
0.90 away
Lille conceded 4 in 10 home games
Nice conceded 9 in 10 away games
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.70
4.72
–
Corners conceded
4.15
3.06
–
Match total
9.85
7.78
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
39% 7/18
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
33% 6/18
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
22% 4/18
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.75
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.00
–
Match total
3.85
3.75
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
25% 5/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.70
13.20
–
Opponent shots
8.75
10.00
–
Match total
22.45
23.20
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.24
4.53
–
Opponent on target
3.71
2.79
–
Match total
8.94
7.32
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
11.85
–
Opponent fouls
15.40
11.35
–
Match total
26.10
23.20
–
Possession
All games
58%
54%
–
Home games
57%
52%
–
Away games
58%
55%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
Nice
Scored · 20
5%
10%
10%
15%
20%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
18%
18%
18%
0%
37%
76%
Scored first
81%
21%
Goals after 75'
40%
Scored first: Lille 13 of 17, Nice 13 of 16 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
At half-time
20%65%15%
Leading 4
Level 13
Trailing 3
1.25
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 15
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
0
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 13 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
···
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